Sport Picks

Stadium Background

7 de Abril vs Barra Mansa

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
de Andrade Tiburcio G.
79' Event
Silva O.

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 2024 game between 7 de Abril and Barra Mansa finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward 7 de Abril.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
7 de Abril
35%
Draws
19%
Barra Mansa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: 7 de Abril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • 7 de Abril's 1.3 goals per match outpaces what Barra Mansa have produced (0.96).
  • Model gives 7 de Abril a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca B2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • 7 de Abril have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
7 de Abril Clean Sheet 68%
Barra Mansa Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 7 de Abril Barra Mansa
Matches Played 23 27
Wins 6 6
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.3 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Carioca B2
Barra Mansa vs 7 de Abril
1:4
Oct 13, 2025 Carioca B2
7 de Abril vs Barra Mansa
2:1
Nov 11, 2024 Carioca B2
7 de Abril vs Barra Mansa
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

7 de Abril Compare

Top Goalscorer de Andrade Tiburcio G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Barra Mansa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

7 de Abril 77 / 100
Barra Mansa 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
7 de Abril Barra Mansa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 7 de Abril Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Attacking prowess: 7 de Abril scored in 61% of their last 23 outings.

Barra Mansa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Recent resilience: 7 de Abril stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

7 de Abril VS Barra Mansa
1.17 Goals Scored 0.88
0.83 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

7 de Abril

(Home)
21 Sept
7 de Abril
1 : 0
Paraty
14 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 4
7 de Abril
07 Sept
7 de Abril
2 : 2
Serra Macaense
30 Aug
Santa Cruz RJ
2 : 0
7 de Abril
09 Nov
Macae
2 : 0
7 de Abril
Page 1 of 5

Barra Mansa

(Away)
20 Sept
Paduano EC
2 : 2
Barra Mansa
14 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 4
7 de Abril
06 Sept
Friburguense
0 : 0
Barra Mansa
31 Aug
Barra Mansa
2 : 2
Campos AA
23 Jul
Barra Mansa
0 : 2
Buzios
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campo Grande 11 8 2 1 23:6 26
2 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 20:5 22
3 Niteroiense 11 6 3 2 19:12 21
4 AA Carapebus 11 6 2 3 23:11 20
5 Serra Macaense 11 4 5 2 10:7 17
6 Zinza 11 4 4 3 13:8 16
7 Barra Mansa 11 4 3 4 12:10 15
8 Uni Souza 11 4 3 4 13:18 15
9 7 de Abril 11 2 4 5 12:13 10
10 FC Rio de Janeiro 11 2 2 7 12:23 8
11 Mageense 11 2 0 9 11:30 6
12 Rio Sao Paulo 11 2 0 9 8:33 6
Promotion - Carioca B2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2025 (Main)