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7 de Setembro vs Aguia Negra

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

7 de Setembro play Aguia Negra in the Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, 7 de Setembro averaged 1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Aguia Negra averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, 7 de Setembro won 1, Aguia Negra won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 13, 2024 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for 7 de Setembro and 1.09 for Aguia Negra. This points to a 7 de Setembro double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
7 de Setembro
17%
Draws
13%
Aguia Negra
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: 7 de Setembro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Aguia Negra has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to 7 de Setembro.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for 7 de Setembro.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
7 de Setembro Clean Sheet 20%
Aguia Negra Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 7 de Setembro Aguia Negra
Matches Played 26 33
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.80 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense 2
7 de Setembro vs Aguia Negra
3:1
Sep 8, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Aguia Negra vs 7 de Setembro
3:1
Apr 7, 2019 Sul-Matogrossense
Aguia Negra vs 7 de Setembro
2:1
Apr 3, 2019 Sul-Matogrossense
7 de Setembro vs Aguia Negra
1:3
Jan 20, 2019 Sul-Matogrossense
7 de Setembro vs Aguia Negra
0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

7 de Setembro 67 / 100
Aguia Negra 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
7 de Setembro Aguia Negra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 7DS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

7 de Setembro scored in 81% of their last 26 games.

Aguia Negra let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

7 de Setembro went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Aguia Negra lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

7 de Setembro VS Aguia Negra
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.8 Goals Conceded 1.5
60% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 63%
20% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Naviraiense853015:318
2Aguia Negra843110:615
37 de Setembro832312:1511
4Comercial MS821511:177
5Operario AC80356:133
6Misto00000:00