Sport Picks

Stadium Background

9 de Julio Rafaela vs Douglas Haig

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal El Coloso
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Del Sole N.
45' Event
Solari M.
46'
Sub
Arriola C. In: Tus E.
Out: Arriola C.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between 9 de Julio Rafaela and Douglas Haig finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward 9 de Julio Rafaela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
9 de Julio Rafaela
39%
Draws
30%
Douglas Haig
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Douglas Haig haven't matched 9 de Julio Rafaela's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • 9 de Julio Rafaela have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
9 de Julio Rafaela Clean Sheet 24%
Douglas Haig Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 9 de Julio Rafaela Douglas Haig
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Douglas Haig
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Douglas Haig
2:1
Jun 29, 2025 Torneo Federal
Douglas Haig vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
0:1
Apr 27, 2025 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Douglas Haig
0:1
May 19, 2024 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Douglas Haig
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

9 de Julio Rafaela Compare

Top Goalscorer Solari M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Androetto T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Douglas Haig Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

9 de Julio Rafaela 33 / 100
Douglas Haig 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
9 de Julio Rafaela Douglas Haig

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

9 de Julio Rafaela's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Douglas Haig has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: 9 de Julio Rafaela remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

9 de Julio Rafaela VS Douglas Haig
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sportivo Belgrano1778219:729
2Douglas Haig1784520:1428
3Gimnasia Chivilcoy1775515:1026
4Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo1775522:1826
59 de Julio Rafaela1774627:2525
6Sportivo Las Parejas1758411:1223
7Atletico Escobar1763819:2721
8Independiente Chivilcoy1746714:2118
9Gimnasia E.R.1745812:1717
10El Linqueno1744913:2116
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Martin Formosa1583424:1927
2Bartolome Mitre1575313:626
3Sol de America1582518:1226
4Sarmiento de La Banda1573516:1424
5Juventud Antoniana1564516:1122
6Defensores de Vilelas1661921:2619
7Boca Unidos1553719:2218
8Tucuman Central1551913:1816
9Sarmiento Resistencia1526710:2212
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cipolletti1674519:1525
2Argentino MM1557315:1122
3Biblioteca Atenas1564512:1322
4Huracan Las Heras1564511:1322
5Fundacion Amigos1548317:1420
6Costa Brava1546512:1218
7San Martin Mendoza1546510:1418
8Juventud U.U.1537510:1016
9Deportivo Rincon1544712:1616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca1577111:428
2Alvarado1676319:727
3Kimberley1567214:825
4Villa Mitre1557311:522
5Germinal154657:1218
6Sol de Mayo1545612:1517
7Guillermo Brown1535711:2014
8Santamarina152769:1513
9Circulo Deportivo152677:1512