Sport Picks

Stadium Background

9 de Julio Rafaela vs Juventud Antoniana

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal 2025 El Coloso, Rafaela
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Maldonado F.
53'
Bustos J.
55'
Arraya L.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal 2025 game between 9 de Julio Rafaela and Juventud Antoniana finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward 9 de Julio Rafaela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
9 de Julio Rafaela
20%
Draws
10%
Juventud Antoniana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: 9 de Julio Rafaela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and 9 de Julio Rafaela come out ahead of Juventud Antoniana on wins alone.
  • Model gives 9 de Julio Rafaela a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
9 de Julio Rafaela Clean Sheet 68%
Juventud Antoniana Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 9 de Julio Rafaela Juventud Antoniana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.43 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2025 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Juventud Antoniana
2:0
Oct 8, 2023 Torneo Federal
Juventud Antoniana vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
0:3
Aug 6, 2023 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Juventud Antoniana
2:0
Jun 18, 2023 Torneo Federal
Juventud Antoniana vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
1:1
Apr 23, 2023 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Juventud Antoniana
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

9 de Julio Rafaela Compare

Top Goalscorer Macies T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maldonado F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Juventud Antoniana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

9 de Julio Rafaela 95 / 100
Juventud Antoniana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
9 de Julio Rafaela Juventud Antoniana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 9 de Julio Rafaela Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

9 de Julio Rafaela's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: 9 de Julio Rafaela remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Juventud Antoniana has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

9 de Julio Rafaela VS Juventud Antoniana
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

9 de Julio Rafaela

(Home)
20 Sept
Sol de America
1 : 1
9 de Julio Rafaela
13 Sept
9 de Julio Rafaela
0 : 1
Bartolome Mitre
06 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
1 : 4
9 de Julio Rafaela
30 Aug
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 0
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
23 Aug
San Martin Formosa
2 : 1
9 de Julio Rafaela
Page 1 of 6

Juventud Antoniana

(Away)
19 Sept
Juventud Antoniana
0 : 2
Cipolletti
13 Sept
Biblioteca Atenas
3 : 1
Juventud Antoniana
05 Sept
Juventud Antoniana
0 : 3
Kimberley
30 Aug
Argentino MM
1 : 0
Juventud Antoniana
22 Aug
Juventud Antoniana
0 : 0
Villa Mitre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Bolivar 8 5 2 1 11:5 17
2 Argentino MM 8 5 0 3 13:9 15
3 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 8 4 3 1 7:4 15
4 Deportivo Rincon 8 3 2 3 6:7 11
5 Biblioteca Atenas 8 1 6 1 3:3 9
6 Costa Brava 8 2 3 3 8:9 9
7 Villa Mitre 8 2 3 3 3:5 9
8 Cipolletti 8 1 3 4 4:7 6
9 Kimberley 8 1 2 5 5:11 5
Promotion - Torneo Federal 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sportivo Belgrano 8 5 1 2 14:10 16
2 Atl. Rafaela 8 5 1 2 9:6 16
3 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 8 4 2 2 11:6 14
4 San Martin Formosa 8 4 2 2 10:7 14
5 Sarmiento de La Banda 8 4 1 3 7:11 13
6 9 de Julio Rafaela 8 2 4 2 7:7 10
7 Juventud Antoniana 8 2 3 3 8:8 9
8 Independiente Chivilcoy 8 1 3 4 8:11 6
9 Douglas Haig 8 0 1 7 3:11 1
Promotion - Torneo Federal 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)