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A. Asteras vs Aris Avatou

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aris Avatou in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aris Avatou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
A. Asteras
20%
Draws
40%
Aris Avatou
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Aris Avatou have won more games recently than A. Asteras.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Aris Avatou taking it.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors A. Asteras here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
A. Asteras Clean Sheet 24%
Aris Avatou Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A. Asteras Aris Avatou
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 0.97 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Aris Avatou vs A. Asteras
0:1
Jan 14, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
A. Asteras vs Aris Avatou
1:2
Mar 13, 2022 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
A. Asteras vs Aris Avatou
2:1
Dec 12, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Aris Avatou vs A. Asteras
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A. Asteras 25 / 100
Aris Avatou 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A. Asteras Aris Avatou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aris Avatou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

A. Asteras scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Aris Avatou's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

A. Asteras has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aris Avatou
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

A. Asteras

(Home)
30 Apr
A. Asteras
2 : 2
Panthrakikos
23 Apr
A. Asteras
2 : 0
M. Alexandros Orfaniou
19 Apr
Chrisoupolis
4 : 1
A. Asteras
08 Apr
A. Asteras
0 : 3
Doxa Dramas
02 Apr
Aris Avatou
0 : 1
A. Asteras
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Aris Avatou

(Away)
27 Apr
Kilkisiakos
2 : 2
Aris Avatou
16 Apr
Aris Avatou
4 : 0
Orestis Orestiadas
12 Apr
Aris Pigon
1 : 0
Aris Avatou
06 Apr
Moudania
0 : 3
Aris Avatou
30 Mar
Aris Avatou
0 : 1
PAOK Kristonis
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kampaniakos 28 17 8 3 50:19 59
2 Kavala 28 16 7 5 55:23 55
3 Poseidonas Michanionas 28 16 5 7 40:29 53
4 Doxa Dramas 28 14 7 7 52:32 49
5 Apollon Paralimniou 28 13 8 7 49:32 47
6 Panthrakikos 28 13 8 7 44:36 47
7 Chrisoupolis 28 11 8 9 38:34 41
8 Aris Avatou 28 13 2 13 29:35 41
9 Thermaikos FC 28 10 10 8 26:26 40
10 Pandramaikos 28 11 4 13 43:35 37
11 Vyron Kavala 28 7 11 10 36:37 32
12 A. Asteras 28 7 9 12 26:41 30
13 Orfeas Xanthi 28 8 6 14 31:49 30
14 Alexandroupoli FC 28 2 7 19 17:52 13
15 M. Alexandros Orfaniou 28 0 4 24 12:68 4
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)