Sport Picks

Stadium Background

A. Asteras vs M. Alexandros Orfaniou Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023 game between A. Asteras and M. Alexandros Orfaniou finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward A. Asteras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
A. Asteras
30%
Draws
16%
M. Alexandros Orfaniou
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: A. Asteras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • A. Asteras carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives A. Asteras a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors A. Asteras here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
A. Asteras Clean Sheet 20%
M. Alexandros Orfaniou Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A. Asteras M. Alexandros Orfaniou
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 0
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 25
Goals Scored 0.97 0.47
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
A. Asteras vs M. Alexandros Orfaniou
2:0
Feb 4, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
M. Alexandros Orfaniou vs A. Asteras
0:2
Jan 30, 2022 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
M. Alexandros Orfaniou vs A. Asteras
0:1
Oct 31, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
A. Asteras vs M. Alexandros Orfaniou
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A. Asteras 85 / 100
M. Alexandros Orfaniou 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A. Asteras M. Alexandros Orfaniou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick A. Asteras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

M. Alexandros Orfaniou has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

A. Asteras scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: A. Asteras remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

A. Asteras VS M. Alexandros Orfaniou
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

A. Asteras

(Home)
30 Apr
A. Asteras
2 : 2
Panthrakikos
23 Apr
A. Asteras
2 : 0
M. Alexandros Orfaniou
19 Apr
Chrisoupolis
4 : 1
A. Asteras
08 Apr
A. Asteras
0 : 3
Doxa Dramas
02 Apr
Aris Avatou
0 : 1
A. Asteras
Page 1 of 6

M. Alexandros Orfaniou

(Away)
30 Apr
M. Alexandros Orfaniou
1 : 1
Alexandroupoli FC
23 Apr
A. Asteras
2 : 0
M. Alexandros Orfaniou
19 Apr
M. Alexandros Orfaniou
0 : 4
Kampaniakos
12 Apr
Thermaikos FC
1 : 0
M. Alexandros Orfaniou
08 Apr
M. Alexandros Orfaniou
0 : 0
Panthrakikos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kampaniakos 28 17 8 3 50:19 59
2 Kavala 28 16 7 5 55:23 55
3 Poseidonas Michanionas 28 16 5 7 40:29 53
4 Doxa Dramas 28 14 7 7 52:32 49
5 Apollon Paralimniou 28 13 8 7 49:32 47
6 Panthrakikos 28 13 8 7 44:36 47
7 Chrisoupolis 28 11 8 9 38:34 41
8 Aris Avatou 28 13 2 13 29:35 41
9 Thermaikos FC 28 10 10 8 26:26 40
10 Pandramaikos 28 11 4 13 43:35 37
11 Vyron Kavala 28 7 11 10 36:37 32
12 A. Asteras 28 7 9 12 26:41 30
13 Orfeas Xanthi 28 8 6 14 31:49 30
14 Alexandroupoli FC 28 2 7 19 17:52 13
15 M. Alexandros Orfaniou 28 0 4 24 12:68 4
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)