Sport Picks

Stadium Background

A. Italiano vs Nublense

Chile Chile

Liga de Primera Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida, Santiago de Chile
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Rivera M.
Assist: Campusano J.
33' Event
Fuentes M.
Assist: Pinares C.
42'
Ferrario E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Primera game between A. Italiano and Nublense finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
A. Italiano
35%
Draws
41%
Nublense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nublense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • A. Italiano haven't matched Nublense's recent run of results.
  • Model gives A. Italiano a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga de Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
A. Italiano Clean Sheet 16%
Nublense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A. Italiano Nublense
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.43 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Liga de Primera
A. Italiano vs Nublense
2:2
Feb 15, 2026 Liga de Primera
Nublense vs A. Italiano
1:0
Dec 1, 2025 Liga de Primera
A. Italiano vs Nublense
1:0
Jun 16, 2025 Liga de Primera
Nublense vs A. Italiano
2:3
Aug 4, 2024 Liga de Primera
A. Italiano vs Nublense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

A. Italiano Compare

Top Goalscorer Fuentes M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Nublense Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivera M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A. Italiano 36 / 100
Nublense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A. Italiano Nublense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

A. Italiano found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

A. Italiano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Nublense conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

A. Italiano VS Nublense
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

A. Italiano

(Home)
22 Aug
A. Italiano
0 : 0
Union La Calera
16 Aug
Everton
1 : 1
A. Italiano
11 Aug
A. Italiano
2 : 2
Nublense
01 Aug
U. De Concepcion
0 : 1
A. Italiano
26 Jul
A. Italiano
1 : 2
U. De Chile
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Nublense

(Away)
16 Aug
Nublense
2 : 1
Union La Calera
11 Aug
A. Italiano
2 : 2
Nublense
04 Aug
Nublense
1 : 0
Rangers
26 Jul
Nublense
2 : 0
Palestino
13 Jul
O Higgins
2 : 0
Nublense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 19 15 1 3 40:19 46
2 U. De Chile 19 10 6 3 26:13 36
3 Nublense 19 8 8 3 26:23 32
4 U. Catolica 19 9 3 7 41:28 30
5 Palestino 19 9 3 7 31:27 30
6 Limache 19 8 3 8 38:31 27
7 Everton 19 7 6 6 28:22 27
8 D. Concepcion 19 8 2 9 22:23 26
9 Coquimbo 17 7 4 6 24:21 25
10 O Higgins 19 7 3 9 24:30 24
11 Huachipato 20 7 3 10 29:39 24
12 La Serena 19 5 8 6 28:31 23
13 A. Italiano 20 5 7 8 23:26 22
14 U. De Concepcion 18 5 4 9 13:30 19
15 Cobresal 19 5 2 12 26:36 17
16 Union La Calera 20 3 5 12 17:37 14
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)