Sport Picks
A. Lima vs Alianza Atl. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima 
Match Events
14'
14'
Castillo E.
Assist: Velez J.
28'
28'
Ingratti J.
32'
32'
Guerrero P.
AI Match Summary
A. Lima in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored A. Lima.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alianza Atl.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Alianza Atl. have won more games recently than A. Lima.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
A. Lima Clean Sheet 10%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | A. Lima | Alianza Atl. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Alianza Atl.
3:1
Jun 28, 2026 Copa de la Liga
A. Lima vs Alianza Atl.
1:2
Feb 15, 2026 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs A. Lima
0:0
Jul 27, 2025 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Alianza Atl.
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs A. Lima
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
A. Lima Compare
Top Goalscorer Castillo E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Velez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Alianza Atl. Compare
Top Goalscorer Ingratti J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
A. Lima 30 / 100
Alianza Atl. 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
A. Lima Alianza Atl.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
A. Lima found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Alianza Atl. conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: A. Lima stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
A. Lima VS Alianza Atl.
1.38 Goals Scored 2.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
A. Lima
(Home) 18 Oct
A. Lima
3 : 1 Atletico Grau
11 Oct
Cusco
1 : 2 A. Lima
01 Oct
A. Lima
1 : 2 Palestino
19 Sept
A. Lima
2 : 0 AD Tarma
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2 Universitario de Deportes
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
A. Lima
3 : 1 Atletico Grau
01 Oct
A. Lima
1 : 2 Palestino
19 Sept
A. Lima
2 : 0 AD Tarma
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2 Universitario de Deportes
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
Page 1 of 4
Alianza Atl.
(Away) 18 Oct
Alianza Atl.
1 : 4 Universitario de Deportes
11 Oct
Sport Boys
1 : 3 Alianza Atl.
06 Oct
Alianza Atl.
3 : 0 Sport Boys
27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5 Alianza Atl.
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Comerciantes Unidos
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Sport Boys
1 : 3 Alianza Atl.
27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5 Alianza Atl.
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1 Alianza Atl.
30 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 4 Alianza Atl.
15 Aug
AD Tarma
1 : 1 Alianza Atl.
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19:14 | 25 |
| 3 | Universitario de Deportes | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 25:19 | 24 |
| 4 | Juan Pablo II | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23:13 | 22 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 22:13 | 22 |
| 6 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 20:11 | 22 |
| 7 | A. Lima | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl. | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24:22 | 22 |
| 9 | Cusco | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 21:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15:16 | 17 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 13 | Los Chankas | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:25 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Cajamarca | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 18:25 | 11 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 20:23 | 10 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8:19 | 10 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8:23 | 6 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11:26 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
