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A. Lima vs Alianza Atl. Prediction & H2H Stats

Peru Peru

Copa de la Liga Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima
A. Lima Logo

A. Lima

1 - 2
FT
Alianza Atl. Logo

Alianza Atl.

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Larios Saavedra G. A.
48' Event
Penilla C.
90' Event
Hidalgo D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
A. Lima
15%
Draws
64%
Alianza Atl.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alianza Atl.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Alianza Atl. carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Alianza Atl. are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Alianza Atl. arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Alianza Atl., who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
A. Lima Clean Sheet 15%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A. Lima Alianza Atl.
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Alianza Atl.
3:1
Jun 28, 2026 Copa de la Liga
A. Lima vs Alianza Atl.
1:2
Feb 15, 2026 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs A. Lima
0:0
Jul 27, 2025 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Alianza Atl.
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs A. Lima
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

A. Lima Compare

Top Goalscorer Hidalgo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Alianza Atl. Compare

Top Goalscorer Larios Saavedra G. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Penilla C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A. Lima 19 / 100
Alianza Atl. 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A. Lima Alianza Atl.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianza Atl. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

A. Lima found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Alianza Atl. let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: A. Lima stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

A. Lima VS Alianza Atl.
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

A. Lima

(Home)
01 Oct
A. Lima
1 : 2
Palestino
19 Sept
A. Lima
2 : 0
AD Tarma
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2
Universitario de Deportes
06 Sept
Juan Pablo II
1 : 1
A. Lima
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1
Deportivo Garcilaso
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Alianza Atl.

(Away)
27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5
Alianza Atl.
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1
Comerciantes Unidos
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1
Alianza Atl.
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2
Cajamarca
30 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 4
Alianza Atl.
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza Atl. 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Carlos Mannucci 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 A. Lima 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
4 Cesar Vallejo 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADA Jaen 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
2 Juan Pablo II 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
3 Comerciantes Unidos 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cajamarca 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Llacuabamba 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
3 FC Cajamarca 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Grau 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
2 Pirata 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
3 Universitario de Deportes 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Huancayo 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 AD Tarma 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Alianza Huanuco 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Union Minas 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cienciano 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Deportivo Garcilaso 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 Binacional 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Cusco 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Los Chankas 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Santos FC 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Ayacucho 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moquegua 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Tacna Heroica 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
3 FBC Melgar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Boys 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 AD Cantolao 2 1 0 1 4:6 3
3 U. San Martin 2 0 1 1 5:6 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Cristal 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Comerciantes FC 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Union Comercio 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Estudiantil CNI 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)