Sport Picks

Stadium Background

A. Lima vs Moquegua

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Castillo E.
Assist: Ramos L.
40'
Zapata Y.
59'
Advincula L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between A. Lima and Moquegua finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward A. Lima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
A. Lima
30%
Draws
23%
Moquegua
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: A. Lima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and A. Lima come out ahead of Moquegua on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on A. Lima taking it.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
A. Lima Clean Sheet 68%
Moquegua Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A. Lima Moquegua
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.41 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Moquegua
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

A. Lima Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Girotti F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Moquegua Compare

Top Goalscorer Lastre E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A. Lima 95 / 100
Moquegua 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A. Lima Moquegua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick A. Lima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

A. Lima found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Moquegua's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

A. Lima went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

A. Lima VS Moquegua
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

A. Lima

(Home)
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1
Deportivo Garcilaso
23 Aug
FBC Melgar
1 : 1
A. Lima
16 Aug
A. Lima
1 : 0
Cajamarca
09 Aug
Sport Boys
1 : 1
A. Lima
02 Aug
A. Lima
3 : 1
Alianza Atl.
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Moquegua

(Away)
30 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 4
Alianza Atl.
27 Aug
AD Tarma
2 : 0
Moquegua
22 Aug
Sport Huancayo
0 : 2
Moquegua
16 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 1
Sport Boys
09 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
2 : 0
Moquegua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A. Lima 17 12 4 1 30:8 40
2 Los Chankas 17 10 4 3 25:21 34
3 Cienciano 17 10 3 4 34:22 33
4 Universitario de Deportes 17 8 5 4 24:15 29
5 FBC Melgar 17 8 4 5 29:20 28
6 Cusco 17 8 3 6 21:24 27
7 Deportivo Garcilaso 17 7 5 5 21:18 26
8 Alianza Atl. 17 5 6 6 20:18 21
9 Comerciantes Unidos 17 5 6 6 18:20 21
10 AD Tarma 17 5 5 7 22:21 20
11 Sport Boys 17 5 5 7 15:19 20
12 Sporting Cristal 17 5 4 8 28:30 19
13 Cajamarca 17 4 6 7 21:26 18
14 Moquegua 17 5 3 9 17:24 18
15 FC Cajamarca 17 4 5 8 23:28 17
16 Atletico Grau 17 4 4 9 12:18 16
17 Sport Huancayo 17 4 4 9 21:31 16
18 Juan Pablo II 17 4 4 9 22:40 16
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)