Sport Picks
A. Lima vs Sporting Cristal
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima 
Match Events
16'
16'
Antoni M.
37'
37'
Iberico L.
40'
40'
Lutiger R.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 1 game between A. Lima and Sporting Cristal finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
30%
42%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting Cristal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- A. Lima carry the better recent record into this one.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Sporting Cristal taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
A. Lima Clean Sheet 19%
Sporting Cristal Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | A. Lima | Sporting Cristal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.79 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Sporting Cristal
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Sporting Cristal
3:4
Dec 3, 2025 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs A. Lima
1:1
Aug 6, 2025 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Sporting Cristal
0:0
Mar 2, 2025 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs A. Lima
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
A. Lima Compare
Top Goalscorer Pavez E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Sporting Cristal Compare
Top Goalscorer Cazonatti G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
A. Lima 28 / 100
Sporting Cristal 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
A. Lima Sporting Cristal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sporting Cristal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
A. Lima found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Sporting Cristal conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Solid form: A. Lima remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
A. Lima VS Sporting Cristal
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
A. Lima
(Home) 06 Sept
Juan Pablo II
1 : 1 A. Lima
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
23 Aug
FBC Melgar
1 : 1 A. Lima
16 Aug
A. Lima
1 : 0 Cajamarca
09 Aug
Sport Boys
1 : 1 A. Lima
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
16 Aug
A. Lima
1 : 0 Cajamarca
02 Aug
A. Lima
3 : 1 Alianza Atl.
20 Jul
A. Lima
2 : 1 Sport Huancayo
12 Jul
A. Lima
0 : 2 Dep. Cali
Page 1 of 3
Sporting Cristal
(Away) 06 Sept
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0 Los Chankas
30 Aug
Sport Boys
1 : 0 Sporting Cristal
26 Aug
Sporting Cristal
4 : 1 Sport Huancayo
21 Aug
Alianza Atl.
3 : 1 Sporting Cristal
16 Aug
Sporting Cristal
4 : 1 Sport Huancayo
Page 1 of 7
30 Aug
Sport Boys
1 : 0 Sporting Cristal
21 Aug
Alianza Atl.
3 : 1 Sporting Cristal
08 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
1 : 1 Sporting Cristal
30 Jul
Bragantino
1 : 0 Sporting Cristal
26 Jul
FBC Melgar
2 : 1 Sporting Cristal
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario de Deportes | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl. | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | AD Tarma | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
