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A. Lima W vs FBC Melgar W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga Women 2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A. Lima W in this Liga Women 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored A. Lima W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
A. Lima W
15%
Draws
38%
FBC Melgar W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: A. Lima W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to A. Lima W lately — more wins on the board than FBC Melgar W.
  • Model gives A. Lima W a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • A. Lima W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
A. Lima W Clean Sheet 10%
FBC Melgar W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A. Lima W FBC Melgar W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 23 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.55 1.8
Goals Conceded 0.64 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Liga Women
A. Lima W vs FBC Melgar W
1:0
Jun 12, 2026 Liga Women
FBC Melgar W vs A. Lima W
0:0
Aug 23, 2025 Liga Women
FBC Melgar W vs A. Lima W
2:3
Apr 20, 2025 Liga Women
A. Lima W vs FBC Melgar W
6:0
Jul 27, 2024 Liga Women
A. Lima W vs FBC Melgar W
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A. Lima W 38 / 100
FBC Melgar W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A. Lima W FBC Melgar W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick A. Lima W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

A. Lima W's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

A. Lima W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

FBC Melgar W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

A. Lima W VS FBC Melgar W
3.5 Goals Scored 3.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

A. Lima W

(Home)
27 Sept
A. Lima W
1 : 0
FBC Melgar W
20 Sept
Sporting Cristal W
0 : 2
A. Lima W
06 Sept
A. Lima W
2 : 0
Atl. Andahuaylas W
30 Aug
Universitario de Deportes W
2 : 3
A. Lima W
23 Aug
A. Lima W
6 : 0
Carlos Mannucci W
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FBC Melgar W

(Away)
27 Sept
A. Lima W
1 : 0
FBC Melgar W
18 Sept
FBC Melgar W
2 : 1
Carlos Mannucci W
11 Sept
Atl. Andahuaylas W
1 : 5
FBC Melgar W
04 Sept
FBC Melgar W
1 : 0
Killas W
30 Aug
UNSAAC W
1 : 3
FBC Melgar W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A. Lima W 10 10 0 0 33:2 30
2 Universitario de Deportes W 10 8 1 1 48:9 25
3 FBC Melgar W 10 7 0 3 28:10 21
4 Sporting Cristal W 10 7 0 3 24:10 21
5 Atl. Andahuaylas W 10 5 2 3 14:12 17
6 Carlos Mannucci W 10 4 1 5 15:30 13
7 Killas W 10 4 0 6 8:20 12
8 Flamengo FBC W 10 2 1 7 8:20 7
9 Yanapuma W 10 2 0 8 14:36 6
10 Defensores W 10 2 0 8 8:39 6
11 UNSAAC W 10 1 1 8 10:22 4
Promotion - Liga Women 2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Women 2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)