Sport Picks

Stadium Background

A. Lustenau vs Aarau

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

52'
54' Event
Benjamin P.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between A. Lustenau and Aarau finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward A. Lustenau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
A. Lustenau
30%
Draws
37%
Aarau
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aarau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • A. Lustenau have managed 1.55 goals a game lately — Aarau are scoring more at 1.97.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on A. Lustenau taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and A. Lustenau have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
A. Lustenau Clean Sheet 13%
Aarau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A. Lustenau Aarau
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.55 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
A. Lustenau vs Aarau
1:0
Jan 21, 2023 Club Friendly
A. Lustenau vs Aarau
0:3
Feb 1, 2012 Club Friendly
Aarau vs A. Lustenau
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

A. Lustenau Compare

Top Goalscorer Benjamin P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Aarau Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A. Lustenau 39 / 100
Aarau 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A. Lustenau Aarau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick A. Lustenau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

A. Lustenau found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Aarau let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Recent resilience: A. Lustenau stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

A. Lustenau VS Aarau
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

A. Lustenau

(Home)
19 Sept
A. Lustenau
2 : 0
Altach
13 Sept
Austria Vienna
2 : 1
A. Lustenau
05 Sept
Lafnitz
2 : 6
A. Lustenau
28 Aug
A. Lustenau
0 : 4
Tirol
22 Aug
Sturm Graz
1 : 1
A. Lustenau
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Aarau

(Away)
18 Sept
Winterthur
2 : 1
Aarau
12 Sept
Aarau
2 : 2
Kriens
04 Sept
Aarau
3 : 2
Rapperswil-Jona
31 Aug
Wil
2 : 2
Aarau
28 Aug
Aarau
2 : 1
Xamax
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