Sport Picks

Stadium Background

A. Lustenau vs Kapfenberg

Austria Austria

OFB Cup 2025/2026 Planet Pure Stadion, Lustenau
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Toure L.
22'
Diarra S.
35'
Maak M.

AI Match Summary

Kapfenberg in this OFB Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
A. Lustenau
30%
Draws
34%
Kapfenberg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: A. Lustenau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Kapfenberg haven't matched A. Lustenau's recent run of results.
  • A. Lustenau are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • A. Lustenau have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kapfenberg, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
A. Lustenau Clean Sheet 20%
Kapfenberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A. Lustenau Kapfenberg
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 2. Liga
A. Lustenau vs Kapfenberg
2:1
Aug 26, 2025 OFB Cup
A. Lustenau vs Kapfenberg
0:2
Aug 15, 2025 2. Liga
Kapfenberg vs A. Lustenau
3:1
Mar 28, 2025 2. Liga
A. Lustenau vs Kapfenberg
1:2
Sep 13, 2024 2. Liga
Kapfenberg vs A. Lustenau
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

A. Lustenau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Kapfenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Rostas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A. Lustenau 36 / 100
Kapfenberg 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A. Lustenau Kapfenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: A. Lustenau scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Kapfenberg has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

A. Lustenau has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

A. Lustenau VS Kapfenberg
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

A. Lustenau

(Home)
16 Jul
Nurnberg II
1 : 0
A. Lustenau
15 Jul
SW Bregenz
1 : 1
A. Lustenau
10 Jul
A. Lustenau
1 : 0
Aarau
04 Jul
Vaduz
1 : 0
A. Lustenau
01 Jul
A. Lustenau
0 : 0
Young Boys
Page 1 of 6

Kapfenberg

(Away)
17 Jul
Wolfsberger AC
6 : 1
Kapfenberg
11 Jul
Grazer AK
1 : 0
Kapfenberg
03 Jul
Deutschlandsberger Wonisch
2 : 7
Kapfenberg
26 Jun
Mattersburg SV 2020
0 : 2
Kapfenberg
18 Jun
A. Klagenfurt
1 : 0
Kapfenberg
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Marchfeld Donauauen6
Jennersdorf1
Vocklamarkt0
SW Bregenz2
Union Gurten6
Wals-Grunau2
Parndorf0
Ried5
SC Imst3
Hogo Hertha Wels4
SC Kalsdorf0
St. Polten5
SV Oberwart7
ATSV Wolfsberger0
Wacker Innsbruck0
Rapid Vienna1
Donaufeld Wien0
Floridsdorfer AC Wien4
Retz0
Stripfing5
Horn2
A. Klagenfurt0
Wiener0
LASK Linz4
Lauterach0
Schwaz5
Treibach0
BW Linz3
Atus Velden3
Neusiedl2
Lafnitz2
Hartberg5
Kremser1
Amstetten2
Tillmitsch1
First Vienna3
Reichenau4
Hohenems1
Wallern/St Marienkirchen1
Wolfsberger AC3
Dornbirn1
Grazer AK0
Dietach0
Salzburg4
ASKO Oedt1
A. Salzburg0
Traiskirchen0
Tirol4
Kuchl2
A. Lustenau3
Dinamo Helfort1
Kapfenberg2
Lendorf1
SV Donau2
Hirschwang1
Altach4
ASK Voitsberg3
Austria Vienna2
SC Weiz0
Admira3
Pinzgau Saalfelden1
Rothis2
Bischofshofen0
Sturm Graz4
1/16-finals
FC Marchfeld Donauauen0
SW Bregenz2
Union Gurten0
Ried1
Hogo Hertha Wels2
St. Polten3
SV Oberwart1
Rapid Vienna2
Floridsdorfer AC Wien1
Stripfing3
Horn0
LASK Linz2
Schwaz0
BW Linz3
Atus Velden0
Hartberg3
Amstetten2
First Vienna1
Reichenau0
Wolfsberger AC6
Dornbirn1
Salzburg3
ASKO Oedt1
Tirol3
A. Lustenau0
Kapfenberg2
SV Donau1
Altach3
ASK Voitsberg1
Admira4
Rothis0
Sturm Graz2
1/8-finals
SW Bregenz0
Ried1
St. Polten0
Rapid Vienna1
Stripfing0
LASK Linz2
BW Linz3
Hartberg2
Amstetten2
Wolfsberger AC3
Salzburg3
Tirol1
Kapfenberg1
Altach3
Admira1
Sturm Graz2
Quarter-finals
Ried3
Rapid Vienna0
LASK Linz3
BW Linz2
Wolfsberger AC0
Salzburg1
Altach3
Sturm Graz1
Semi-finals
Ried1
LASK Linz2
Salzburg0
Altach1
Final
LASK Linz4
Altach2