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A. Lustenau vs Sturm Graz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

OFB Cup Planet Pure Stadion, Lustenau
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Jastremski L.
Assist: Gmeiner F.
26' Event
Weixelbraun D.
Assist: Jastremski L.
33'
Grabher P.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
A. Lustenau
15%
Draws
65%
Sturm Graz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sturm Graz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sturm Graz come out ahead of A. Lustenau on wins alone.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Sturm Graz taking it.
  • Sturm Graz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sturm Graz, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
A. Lustenau Clean Sheet 10%
Sturm Graz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A. Lustenau Sturm Graz
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 11 17
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.43 2
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2026 OFB Cup
A. Lustenau vs Sturm Graz
3:2
Aug 22, 2026 Bundesliga
Sturm Graz vs A. Lustenau
1:1
Nov 25, 2023 Bundesliga
Sturm Graz vs A. Lustenau
2:0
Aug 19, 2023 Bundesliga
A. Lustenau vs Sturm Graz
0:1
Mar 4, 2023 Bundesliga
A. Lustenau vs Sturm Graz
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

A. Lustenau Compare

Top Goalscorer Jastremski L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Weixelbraun D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Sturm Graz Compare

Top Goalscorer Petrovic P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seidl S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A. Lustenau 10 / 100
Sturm Graz 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A. Lustenau Sturm Graz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sturm Graz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

A. Lustenau scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Sturm Graz let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

A. Lustenau went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

A. Lustenau VS Sturm Graz
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

A. Lustenau

(Home)
24 Oct
Rapid Vienna
5 : 1
A. Lustenau
17 Oct
A. Lustenau
0 : 4
LASK Linz
11 Oct
Hartberg
4 : 3
A. Lustenau
03 Oct
A. Lustenau
0 : 1
Schalke
24 Sept
A. Lustenau
3 : 1
SW Bregenz
Page 1 of 6

Sturm Graz

(Away)
25 Oct
Sturm Graz
2 : 2
Ried
22 Oct
Sturm Graz
1 : 0
Marseille
18 Oct
Sturm Graz
6 : 1
Grazer AK
15 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0
Sturm Graz
10 Oct
Austria Vienna
0 : 2
Sturm Graz
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Treibach 1
Kapfenberg 4
Hohenems 1
Hogo Hertha Wels 2
Wiener Viktoria 1
Parndorf 3
Lauterach 1
Wolfsberger AC 5
Union Gurten 1
BW Linz 3
Reichenau 0
Wacker Innsbruck 3
SV Leithaprodersdorf 2
Admira 1
Wieselburg 0
Tirol 6
Traiskirchen 4
Bleiburg 0
Wiener 0
Austria Vienna 5
Vorwarts Steyr 1
Kuchl 0
SC Imst 1
Hartberg 3
Wals-Grunau 1
A. Salzburg 5
Mattersburg SV 2020 1
First Vienna 2
Atus Velden 1
A. Klagenfurt 2
Wienerberger 0
Rapid Vienna 3
FC Lustenau 1
Kitzbuhel 4
Donaufeld Wien 0
Grazer AK 4
Dietach 3
Bischofshofen 4
Leobendorf 0
Altach 1
Deutschlandsberger Wonisch 2
Amstetten 1
SC Kalsdorf 0
LASK Linz 7
Schwaz 2
Wallern/St Marienkirchen 3
Dornbirn 1
Ried 5
Lafnitz 3
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 1
Kremser 0
A. Lustenau 1
Leoben 0
ASK Voitsberg 6
Seekirchen 0
Sturm Graz 3
Horn 1
Floridsdorfer AC Wien 2
Bad Leonfelden 0
SW Bregenz 5
Tillmitsch 1
St. Polten 2
SV Oberwart 1
Salzburg 7
1/16-finals
Kapfenberg 0
Hogo Hertha Wels 1
Parndorf 2
Wolfsberger AC 3
BW Linz 2
Wacker Innsbruck 3
SV Leithaprodersdorf 0
Tirol 4
Traiskirchen 0
Austria Vienna 6
Vorwarts Steyr 0
Hartberg 4
A. Salzburg 0
First Vienna 4
A. Klagenfurt 2
Rapid Vienna 5
Kitzbuhel 0
Grazer AK 2
Bischofshofen 0
Altach 7
Deutschlandsberger Wonisch 1
LASK Linz 6
Wallern/St Marienkirchen 1
Ried 5
Lafnitz 2
A. Lustenau 6
ASK Voitsberg 1
Sturm Graz 4
Floridsdorfer AC Wien 0
SW Bregenz 1
St. Polten 0
Salzburg 3
1/8-finals
Hogo Hertha Wels 1
Wolfsberger AC 0
Wacker Innsbruck 2
Tirol 3
Austria Vienna 1
Hartberg 2
First Vienna 0
Rapid Vienna 3
Grazer AK 0
Altach 4
LASK Linz 5
Ried 4
A. Lustenau -
Sturm Graz -
SW Bregenz 2
Salzburg 3
Quarter-finals
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Semi-finals
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
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