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AA Carapebus vs Sao Cristovao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Carioca B1
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Match Events

45' Event

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B1 game between AA Carapebus and Sao Cristovao finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Cristovao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
AA Carapebus
30%
Draws
58%
Sao Cristovao
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Cristovao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Cristovao have managed 0.76 goals a game lately — AA Carapebus are scoring more at 1.1.
  • Win probability leans Sao Cristovao's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
AA Carapebus Clean Sheet 18%
Sao Cristovao Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AA Carapebus Sao Cristovao
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.1 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Carioca B1
AA Carapebus vs Sao Cristovao
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Carioca B1
AA Carapebus vs Sao Cristovao
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AA Carapebus 23 / 100
Sao Cristovao 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AA Carapebus Sao Cristovao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Cristovao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sao Cristovao conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

AA Carapebus's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

AA Carapebus has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AA Carapebus VS Sao Cristovao
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AA Carapebus

(Home)
10 Oct
AA Carapebus
1 : 3
Niteroiense
03 Oct
Macae
4 : 3
AA Carapebus
25 Sept
AA Carapebus
0 : 1
Sao Cristovao
19 Sept
Artsul
0 : 0
AA Carapebus
11 Sept
AA Carapebus
1 : 4
Duque de Caxias
Page 1 of 6

Sao Cristovao

(Away)
10 Oct
Sao Cristovao
1 : 1
Goytacaz
03 Oct
Niteroiense
1 : 0
Sao Cristovao
25 Sept
AA Carapebus
0 : 1
Sao Cristovao
19 Sept
Sao Cristovao
0 : 1
Duque de Caxias
12 Sept
Nova Cidade
2 : 2
Sao Cristovao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niteroiense 6 5 1 0 10:2 16
2 Duque de Caxias 6 4 0 2 10:5 12
3 Serrano FC 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
4 Goytacaz 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
5 Goncalense 6 2 4 0 7:4 10
6 Artsul 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
7 Campo Grande 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
8 Macae 6 2 1 3 7:7 7
9 Sao Cristovao 6 1 3 2 4:5 6
10 Nova Cidade 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
11 Audax RJ 6 0 1 5 2:9 1
12 AA Carapebus 6 0 1 5 5:13 1
Promotion - Carioca B1 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2027 (Main)