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Aalborg Chang vs Tars/Ugilt IF

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aalborg Chang play Tars/Ugilt IF in the Landspokal Cup 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aalborg Chang averaged 1.43 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. Tars/Ugilt IF averaged 0.67 goals scored and 3.33 conceded. In past meetings, Aalborg Chang won 1, Tars/Ugilt IF won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 11, 2009 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.54 for Aalborg Chang and 1.15 for Tars/Ugilt IF. This points to a Aalborg Chang double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Aalborg Chang
15%
Draws
33%
Tars/Ugilt IF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalborg Chang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Aalborg Chang picked up more points recently compared to Tars/Ugilt IF.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.54 vs 1.15 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Aalborg Chang Clean Sheet 21%
Tars/Ugilt IF Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalborg Chang Tars/Ugilt IF
Matches Played 30 3
Wins 10 1
Draws 4 0
Losses 16 2
Goals Scored 1.43 0.67
Goals Conceded 2.27 3.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 3.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2009 Betano Pokalen
Aalborg Chang vs Tars/Ugilt IF
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalborg Chang 51 / 100
Tars/Ugilt IF 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalborg Chang Tars/Ugilt IF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Aalborg Chang or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aalborg Chang attacking → ← attacking Tars/Ugilt IF

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalborg Chang scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Tars/Ugilt IF let in goals in 100% of their last 3 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Aalborg Chang went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Tars/Ugilt IF lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 3
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.67
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.33