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Aalborg II vs Esbjerg II Prediction & H2H Stats

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division West 2008/2009
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AI Match Summary

The 2nd Division West 2008/2009 game between Aalborg II and Esbjerg II finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Esbjerg II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Aalborg II
15%
Draws
51%
Esbjerg II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Esbjerg II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Esbjerg II come out ahead of Aalborg II on wins alone.
  • Model gives Esbjerg II a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2nd Division West 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Aalborg II Clean Sheet 10%
Esbjerg II Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalborg II Esbjerg II
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2010 2nd Division West
Esbjerg II vs Aalborg II
1:1
Aug 11, 2009 2nd Division West
Aalborg II vs Esbjerg II
4:2
Jun 4, 2009 2nd Division West
Esbjerg II vs Aalborg II
3:1
Sep 20, 2008 2nd Division West
Aalborg II vs Esbjerg II
2:4
May 31, 2008 2nd Division West
Esbjerg II vs Aalborg II
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalborg II 18 / 100
Esbjerg II 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalborg II Esbjerg II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esbjerg II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Esbjerg II conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Aalborg II scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Esbjerg II's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aalborg II VS Esbjerg II
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalborg II

(Home)
01 Jul
Aalborg II
0 : 0
Thisted FC
02 Aug
Viborg
1 : 2
Aalborg II
06 Jun
Varde
5 : 2
Aalborg II
02 Jun
Aalborg II
0 : 3
Aarhus II
29 May
Aalborg II
0 : 2
Holstebro
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Esbjerg II

(Away)
06 Jun
Ikast
3 : 4
Esbjerg II
29 May
Esbjerg II
2 : 3
Vendsyssel FF
26 May
Svendborg
3 : 1
Esbjerg II
22 May
Esbjerg II
2 : 0
Naesby
15 May
Odense II
3 : 1
Esbjerg II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Fyn 30 19 7 4 75:32 64
2 Odense II 30 18 3 9 61:45 57
3 Brabrand 30 15 6 9 50:32 51
4 Jammerbugt 30 16 3 11 63:48 51
5 Esbjerg II 30 15 6 9 53:46 51
6 Randers Freja 30 15 4 11 54:39 49
7 Hobro 30 13 9 8 54:48 48
8 Aarhus Fremad 30 13 6 11 47:47 45
9 Svendborg 30 14 2 14 53:51 44
10 Varde 30 13 4 13 49:58 43
11 Aalborg II 30 11 4 15 47:50 37
12 Ikast 30 8 8 14 44:63 32
13 Vendsyssel FF 30 7 9 14 35:48 30
14 Aarhus II 30 6 8 16 42:61 26
15 Naesby 30 6 8 16 31:52 26
16 Skovbakken 30 6 3 21 35:73 21
Relegation - 2nd Division East 2008/2009 (Play Out)
Promotion - 1st Division 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - 2nd Division East 2008/2009 (Play Offs)