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Stadium Background

Aalborg vs Fredericia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

1st Division Aalborg Portland Park, Aalborg
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Hansborg E. In: Simonsen E.
Out: Hansborg E.
46'
Sub
Muller V. In: Gronkjaer B.
Out: Muller V.
49' Event
Rieper F.
Assist: Lyng A.

AI Match Summary

Fredericia in this 1st Division matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fredericia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Aalborg
35%
Draws
23%
Fredericia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aalborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Aalborg haven't matched Fredericia's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Aalborg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Aalborg Clean Sheet 16%
Fredericia Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalborg Fredericia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 10 10
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.48 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 1st Division
Aalborg vs Fredericia
0:3
Sep 19, 2024 Betano Pokalen
Fredericia vs Aalborg
1:4
May 17, 2024 1st Division
Aalborg vs Fredericia
1:0
Apr 25, 2024 1st Division
Fredericia vs Aalborg
2:1
Mar 1, 2024 1st Division
Fredericia vs Aalborg
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aalborg Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Fredericia Compare

Top Goalscorer Rieper F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lyng A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalborg 57 / 100
Fredericia 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalborg Fredericia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalborg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalborg scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Aalborg went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Fredericia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aalborg VS Fredericia
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalborg

(Home)
02 Oct
Randers FC
0 : 1
Aalborg
20 Sept
Aalborg
2 : 2
Vendsyssel FF
12 Sept
Hvidovre IF
2 : 2
Aalborg
05 Sept
AB Copenhagen
0 : 2
Aalborg
29 Aug
Aalborg
0 : 0
Koge
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Fredericia

(Away)
20 Sept
Fredericia
2 : 2
Vejle
12 Sept
Kolding IF
0 : 0
Fredericia
05 Sept
Fredericia
1 : 0
Esbjerg
30 Aug
Hvidovre IF
2 : 1
Fredericia
26 Aug
Fredericia
1 : 2
Odense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hvidovre IF 9 6 3 0 18:9 21
2 Vejle 9 5 4 0 22:13 19
3 Fredericia 9 3 5 1 12:6 14
4 Aarhus Fremad 9 3 4 2 10:9 13
5 Aalborg 9 3 4 2 11:11 13
6 Hobro 9 4 1 4 12:16 13
7 Vendsyssel FF 9 2 4 3 10:14 10
8 AB Copenhagen 9 2 3 4 11:10 9
9 Hillerod 9 2 3 4 13:14 9
10 Kolding IF 9 1 5 3 10:12 8
11 Koge 9 1 4 4 11:17 7
12 Esbjerg 9 1 2 6 10:19 5
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)