Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aalen vs Fellbach

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2024/2025 OSTALB ARENA, Aalen
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Odabas A.
29' Event
Maksimovic S.
(Penalty)
37' Event
Odabas A.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2024/2025 game between Aalen and Fellbach finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aalen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Aalen
20%
Draws
7%
Fellbach
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aalen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Aalen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Aalen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Aalen Clean Sheet 20%
Fellbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalen Fellbach
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 24 6
Draws 7 3
Losses 5 21
Goals Scored 2.5 1
Goals Conceded 0.86 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Aalen vs Fellbach
6:0
Sep 28, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Fellbach vs Aalen
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aalen Compare

Top Goalscorer Odabas A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wachter S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Fellbach Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalen 85 / 100
Fellbach 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalen Fellbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalen found the back of the net in 92% of recent matches (36 games).

Defensive concern: Fellbach conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Aalen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aalen VS -
2.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalen

(Home)
13 Sept
VfR Mannheim
0 : 0
Aalen
08 Sept
Aalen
2 : 0
Ulm
05 Sept
Aalen
2 : 0
Eintracht Trier
30 Aug
Mainz II
1 : 3
Aalen
22 Aug
Aalen
0 : 3
Eintracht Frankfurt II
Page 1 of 8

Fellbach

(Away)
20 Jan
Fellbach
3 : 3
Backnang
12 Jul
Fellbach
1 : 7
VfB Stuttgart
31 May
Fellbach
0 : 6
Reutlingen
24 May
Bietigheim-Bissingen
3 : 1
Fellbach
16 May
Fellbach
0 : 2
Leinfelden-Echterdingen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 34 31 2 1 109:26 95
2 Balingen 34 24 4 6 78:44 76
3 VfR Mannheim 34 20 7 7 71:41 67
4 Aalen 34 17 9 8 61:32 60
5 1. CfR Pforzheim 34 18 6 10 65:44 60
6 Oberachern 34 15 7 12 50:41 52
7 FC Nottingen 34 15 5 14 73:53 50
8 Backnang 34 14 8 12 60:49 50
9 Reutlingen 34 13 10 11 57:52 49
10 TSV Essingen 34 14 6 14 46:45 48
11 Hollenbach 34 14 6 14 54:60 48
12 FC Normannia Gmund 34 14 3 17 62:65 45
13 Bietigheim-Bissingen 34 12 7 15 54:63 43
14 Ravensburg 34 9 11 14 40:52 38
15 Fellbach 34 9 3 22 35:84 30
16 Zuzenhausen 34 8 3 23 42:87 27
17 Leinfelden-Echterdingen 34 5 3 26 38:83 18
18 FC 08 Villingen II 34 4 0 30 30:104 12
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025 (Promotion)