Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aalen vs Freiberg

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Bradara T.
67' Event
Zie M.
74' Event
Kienle S.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Aalen and Freiberg finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Freiberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Aalen
30%
Draws
37%
Freiberg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Freiberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Aalen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Aalen Clean Sheet 12%
Freiberg Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalen Freiberg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.17 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Aalen vs Freiberg
2:3
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Aalen vs Freiberg
1:3
May 18, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiberg vs Aalen
3:1
Nov 11, 2023 Regionalliga Sudwest
Aalen vs Freiberg
2:1
Feb 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Aalen vs Freiberg
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aalen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kienle S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Freiberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Bradara T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zie M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalen 30 / 100
Freiberg 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalen Freiberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalen's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Freiberg has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Aalen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aalen VS Freiberg
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalen

(Home)
19 Sept
Aalen
2 : 3
Freiberg
13 Sept
VfR Mannheim
0 : 0
Aalen
08 Sept
Aalen
2 : 0
Ulm
05 Sept
Aalen
2 : 0
Eintracht Trier
30 Aug
Mainz II
1 : 3
Aalen
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Freiberg

(Away)
19 Sept
Aalen
2 : 3
Freiberg
12 Sept
Freiberg
5 : 0
Mainz II
08 Sept
Sandhausen
0 : 0
Freiberg
04 Sept
Ulm
4 : 4
Freiberg
29 Aug
Freiberg
2 : 1
Eintracht Frankfurt II
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