Sport Picks
Aalen vs Freiburg II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Regionalliga Sudwest Bediani Arena, Aalen 
Match Events
5'
5'
Melo D.
57'
57'
Rudlin F.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Regionalliga Sudwest matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Aalen have won more games recently than Freiburg II.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Aalen taking it.
- Regular Regionalliga Sudwest form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Aalen Clean Sheet 15%
Freiburg II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aalen | Freiburg II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 4 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.21 | 2.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Aalen vs Freiburg II
1:1
Feb 20, 2021 Regionalliga Sudwest
Aalen vs Freiburg II
1:3
Sep 16, 2020 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiburg II vs Aalen
4:0
May 16, 2020 Regionalliga Sudwest
Aalen vs Freiburg II
0:0
Nov 10, 2019 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiburg II vs Aalen
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aalen Compare
Top Goalscorer Melo D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Freiburg II Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aalen 48 / 100
Freiburg II 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aalen Freiburg II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aalen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Aalen scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.
Freiburg II let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Aalen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Aalen VS Freiburg II
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Aalen
(Home) 03 Oct
Aalen
4 : 1 FSV Frankfurt
26 Sept
Kickers Offenbach
1 : 3 Aalen
19 Sept
Aalen
2 : 3 Freiberg
13 Sept
VfR Mannheim
0 : 0 Aalen
08 Sept
Aalen
2 : 0 Ulm
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Aalen
4 : 1 FSV Frankfurt
19 Sept
Aalen
2 : 3 Freiberg
08 Sept
Aalen
2 : 0 Ulm
05 Sept
Aalen
2 : 0 Eintracht Trier
22 Aug
Aalen
0 : 3 Eintracht Frankfurt II
Page 1 of 3
Freiburg II
(Away) 03 Oct
Mainz II
0 : 2 Freiburg II
19 Sept
Fulda-Lehnerz
2 : 3 Freiburg II
11 Sept
Freiburg II
1 : 2 Sandhausen
08 Sept
Eintracht Trier
0 : 0 Freiburg II
05 Sept
Freiburg II
4 : 3 TSV Steinbach Haiger
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Mainz II
0 : 2 Freiburg II
19 Sept
Fulda-Lehnerz
2 : 3 Freiburg II
08 Sept
Eintracht Trier
0 : 0 Freiburg II
22 Aug
Stutt. Kickers
2 : 2 Freiburg II
09 Aug
Aalen
1 : 1 Freiburg II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Freiberg | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 26:11 | 20 |
| 2 | Stutt. Kickers | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:13 | 20 |
| 3 | Kickers Offenbach | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:13 | 19 |
| 4 | Aalen | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:11 | 18 |
| 5 | Freiburg II | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 18:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Eintracht Trier | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 7 | FC 08 Homburg | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 15 |
| 8 | VfR Mannheim | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 9 | TSV Steinbach Haiger | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:15 | 13 |
| 10 | Sandhausen | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16:20 | 13 |
| 11 | FSV Frankfurt | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 12 | Kassel | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 13 | Eintracht Frankfurt II | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 14 | Astoria Walldorf | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 15:18 | 9 |
| 15 | Mainz II | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:21 | 9 |
| 16 | Kaiserslautern II | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:18 | 9 |
| 17 | Fulda-Lehnerz | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14:22 | 6 |
| 18 | Ulm | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 13:21 | 5 |
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
