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Aalen vs TSV Essingen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2025/2026 OSTALB ARENA
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TSV Essingen in this Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored TSV Essingen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Aalen
6%
Draws
4%
TSV Essingen
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aalen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aalen lately — more wins on the board than TSV Essingen.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Aalen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Aalen Clean Sheet 16%
TSV Essingen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalen TSV Essingen
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 22 12
Draws 3 11
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 2.88 2
Goals Conceded 1 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
TSV Essingen vs Aalen
0:0
Mar 21, 2026 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Aalen vs TSV Essingen
2:3
Sep 6, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
TSV Essingen vs Aalen
0:2
Mar 1, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Aalen vs TSV Essingen
2:0
Aug 24, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
TSV Essingen vs Aalen
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalen 84 / 100
TSV Essingen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalen TSV Essingen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalen found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).

TSV Essingen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Aalen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aalen VS TSV Essingen
2.88 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aalen34265387:2483
2VfR Mannheim34209581:3469
3FC Nottingen341841282:6158
4Ravensburg34169961:5257
5TSV Essingen341412854:5854
6Oberachern341661254:6254
71. CfR Pforzheim3412121068:6148
8Reutlingen3412111156:5047
9FC 08 Villingen3412111155:5647
10Karlsruher II3411101354:6143
11Backnang341261650:6742
12Turkish SV Singen341241855:8140
13FC Normannia Gmund349121353:5139
14Turkspor Neckarsulm341161752:6139
15Goppinger34991653:5336
16Hollenbach34981756:6935
17Bietigheim-Bissingen347121554:8133
18Denzlingen34542535:7819