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Aalesund 2 vs Spjelkavik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Pedersen T.
17' Event
Warholm R.
37' Event
Langlo M.

AI Match Summary

Aalesund 2 in this Division 3 - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aalesund 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Aalesund 2
15%
Draws
36%
Spjelkavik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalesund 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Aalesund 2 haven't matched Spjelkavik's recent run of results.
  • Aalesund 2 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Aalesund 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Spjelkavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalesund 2 Spjelkavik
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.93 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.55 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Aalesund 2 vs Spjelkavik
3:2
May 9, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Spjelkavik vs Aalesund 2
2:2
Aug 25, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Spjelkavik vs Aalesund 2
4:1
Jun 30, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Aalesund 2 vs Spjelkavik
2:2
Aug 4, 2024 Division 3 - Group 5
Spjelkavik vs Aalesund 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aalesund 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedersen T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Langlo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Spjelkavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Warholm R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalesund 2 40 / 100
Spjelkavik 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalesund 2 Spjelkavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalesund 2 scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Spjelkavik conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Spjelkavik registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aalesund 2 VS Spjelkavik
1.75 Goals Scored 2
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalesund 2

(Home)
03 Oct
Aalesund 2
1 : 3
Ntnui
25 Sept
Aalesund 2
1 : 7
Rosenborg 2
20 Sept
Orkla
2 : 2
Aalesund 2
14 Sept
Aalesund 2
3 : 2
Spjelkavik
07 Sept
Molde 2
3 : 2
Aalesund 2
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Spjelkavik

(Away)
09 Oct
Herd
2 : 1
Spjelkavik
04 Oct
Spjelkavik
2 : 5
Ranheim 2
26 Sept
Melhus
0 : 1
Spjelkavik
21 Sept
Spjelkavik
0 : 4
Rosenborg 2
14 Sept
Aalesund 2
3 : 2
Spjelkavik
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