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Aalesund vs Kristiansund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Kjelsen A.
52' Event
Melland H.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Aalesund and Kristiansund finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aalesund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Aalesund
15%
Draws
34%
Kristiansund
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalesund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Aalesund carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Aalesund a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Aalesund Clean Sheet 10%
Kristiansund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalesund Kristiansund
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 2.28 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Kristiansund vs Aalesund
0:3
Apr 26, 2026 Eliteserien
Aalesund vs Kristiansund
1:1
Jan 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Aalesund vs Kristiansund
1:0
Mar 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Kristiansund vs Aalesund
2:1
Jul 19, 2024 Club Friendly
Aalesund vs Kristiansund
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aalesund Compare

Top Goalscorer Melland H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

Kristiansund Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalesund 83 / 100
Kristiansund 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalesund Kristiansund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalesund Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalesund scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Kristiansund's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Aalesund has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aalesund VS Kristiansund
3.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalesund

(Home)
19 Sept
Molde
1 : 2
Aalesund
16 Sept
Forde
3 : 4
Aalesund
13 Sept
KFUM Oslo
2 : 1
Aalesund
04 Sept
Aalesund
2 : 0
Start
30 Aug
Viking
2 : 1
Aalesund
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Kristiansund

(Away)
04 Oct
Molde
3 : 0
Kristiansund
19 Sept
Kristiansund
1 : 3
Rosenborg
16 Sept
Brattvag
1 : 2
Kristiansund
13 Sept
Viking
8 : 1
Kristiansund
06 Sept
Kristiansund
2 : 0
Tromso
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