Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aalesund vs Molde

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Color Line Stadion, Ålesund
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Osenbroch E.
Assist: Hagen E.
18' Event
Spiten-Nysaeter O.
Assist: Hestad E.
31' Event
Hestad E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Eliteserien matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Aalesund
28%
Draws
22%
Molde
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Aalesund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Molde lately — more wins on the board than Aalesund.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Aalesund taking it.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
Aalesund Clean Sheet 68%
Molde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalesund Molde
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Eliteserien
Aalesund vs Molde
2:2
Feb 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Molde vs Aalesund
4:1
Mar 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Molde vs Aalesund
0:0
May 16, 2023 Eliteserien
Aalesund vs Molde
3:1
May 3, 2023 Eliteserien
Molde vs Aalesund
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aalesund Compare

Top Goalscorer Osenbroch E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Christensen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Molde Compare

Top Goalscorer Spiten-Nysaeter O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hestad E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalesund 59 / 100
Molde 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalesund Molde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 7:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aalesund scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Molde's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Aalesund went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aalesund VS Molde
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalesund

(Home)
26 Jul
Aalesund
1 : 1
Viking
16 Jul
Valerenga
6 : 1
Aalesund
11 Jul
Aalesund
2 : 2
Molde
27 Jun
Kristiansund
0 : 3
Aalesund
29 May
Aalesund
2 : 2
Ham-Kam
Page 1 of 6

Molde

(Away)
26 Jul
KFUM Oslo
2 : 4
Molde
18 Jul
Molde
1 : 2
Brann
11 Jul
Aalesund
2 : 2
Molde
05 Jul
Rosenborg
2 : 1
Molde
28 Jun
Molde
1 : 4
Bodo/Glimt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bodo/Glimt15112237:1135
2Viking14111234:1434
3Tromso1594226:1531
4Lillestrom1481522:1425
5Molde1472525:1923
6Sarpsborg 081463515:1621
7Valerenga1462622:2420
8Brann1561830:2519
9Rosenborg1453619:1818
10Ham-Kam1453620:2618
11Sandefjord1443713:2015
12Fredrikstad1442815:2714
13Aalesund1427519:2913
14KFUM Oslo1433815:2512
15Kristiansund1433812:2312
16Start1524916:3410
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)