Sport Picks
Aalesund vs Sandefjord - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Norway
Eliteserien Color Line Stadion, Ålesund 
AI Match Summary
Aalesund host Sandefjord in the Eliteserien. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Aalesund have averaged 2.31 scored and 2.03 conceded recently, against Sandefjord's 1.64 scored and 1.18 conceded. Head-to-head, Aalesund have won 1 to Sandefjord's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 2.13 vs 2.38, favoring Sandefjord. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Sandefjord lately — more wins on the board than Aalesund.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Sandefjord have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aalesund | Sandefjord |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.31 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aalesund scored in 93% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Sandefjord conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Aalesund has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Aalesund
(Home)Sandefjord
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 56:20 | 53 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 56:20 | 53 |
| 3 | Tromso | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 41:30 | 39 |
| 4 | Molde | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 46:34 | 37 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 40:31 | 34 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 30:31 | 33 |
| 7 | Brann | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 39:34 | 29 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 26:33 | 29 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 28:31 | 28 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 27:36 | 28 |
| 11 | Ham-Kam | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 33:46 | 26 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 22:28 | 24 |
| 13 | Valerenga | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 35:45 | 23 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 35:50 | 21 |
| 15 | Kristiansund | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 22:43 | 19 |
| 16 | Start | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 24:48 | 16 |
