Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Christensen M.
(Penalty)
13'
13'
Haren L.
Penalty Missed
14'
14'
Grundetjern M.
AI Match Summary
The Eliteserien game between Aalesund and Valerenga finished 5-5.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aalesund
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Valerenga carry the better recent record into this one.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Aalesund taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Valerenga have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Aalesund Clean Sheet 10%
Valerenga Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aalesund | Valerenga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.28 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.94 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Eliteserien
Aalesund vs Valerenga
5:5
Jul 16, 2026 Eliteserien
Valerenga vs Aalesund
6:1
Sep 24, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Valerenga vs Aalesund
4:1
May 11, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Aalesund vs Valerenga
0:2
Sep 17, 2023 Eliteserien
Valerenga vs Aalesund
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aalesund Compare
Top Goalscorer Reed M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hagen E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47
Valerenga Compare
Top Goalscorer Grundetjern M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Haren L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aalesund 38 / 100
Valerenga 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aalesund Valerenga
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aalesund Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aalesund's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Valerenga let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 5.60 goals.
Aalesund has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Aalesund VS Valerenga
3.25 Goals Scored 2.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Aalesund
(Home) 19 Sept
Molde
1 : 2 Aalesund
16 Sept
Forde
3 : 4 Aalesund
13 Sept
KFUM Oslo
2 : 1 Aalesund
04 Sept
Aalesund
2 : 0 Start
30 Aug
Viking
2 : 1 Aalesund
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Aalesund
2 : 0 Start
16 Aug
Aalesund
5 : 5 Valerenga
02 Aug
Aalesund
2 : 6 Tromso
26 Jul
Aalesund
1 : 1 Viking
11 Jul
Aalesund
2 : 2 Molde
Page 1 of 3
Valerenga
(Away) 20 Sept
Valerenga
1 : 1 Fredrikstad
17 Sept
Skeid
1 : 4 Valerenga
12 Sept
Lillestrom
2 : 0 Valerenga
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2 Valerenga
30 Aug
Valerenga
3 : 4 Molde
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Skeid
1 : 4 Valerenga
12 Sept
Lillestrom
2 : 0 Valerenga
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2 Valerenga
23 Aug
Christiania BK
2 : 7 Valerenga
16 Aug
Aalesund
5 : 5 Valerenga
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 54:20 | 50 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 53:19 | 50 |
| 3 | Tromso | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 40:29 | 38 |
| 4 | Molde | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44:32 | 36 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39:30 | 33 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28:29 | 32 |
| 7 | Brann | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 39:32 | 29 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24:29 | 25 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25:35 | 25 |
| 11 | Sandefjord | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21:27 | 23 |
| 12 | Valerenga | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 34:43 | 23 |
| 13 | Ham-Kam | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 29:44 | 23 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33:46 | 21 |
| 15 | Kristiansund | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21:40 | 19 |
| 16 | Start | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22:44 | 16 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
