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Aalesund W vs Molde W Prediction & H2H Stats

Norway Norway

Norway Cup Women 2026
Aalesund W Logo

Aalesund W

5 - 1
FT
Molde W Logo

Molde W

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Luthcke C.
Assist: Sunde K.
55' Event
Skretting I.
Assist: Sunde K.
62' Event
Loennecken T.
Assist: Skretting I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-1, with Aalesund W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Aalesund W
20%
Draws
23%
Molde W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aalesund W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aalesund W come out ahead of Molde W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Aalesund W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Aalesund W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aalesund W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aalesund W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Aalesund W Clean Sheet 20%
Molde W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalesund W Molde W
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 21 11
Draws 2 4
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 2.67 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Toppserien Women
Aalesund W vs Molde W
4:1
May 19, 2026 Norway Cup Women
Aalesund W vs Molde W
5:1
May 2, 2026 Toppserien Women
Molde W vs Aalesund W
2:3
Mar 14, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Aalesund W vs Molde W
2:0
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Aalesund W vs Molde W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aalesund W Compare

Top Goalscorer Luthcke C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Skretting I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Molde W Compare

Top Goalscorer Oteng P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalesund W 85 / 100
Molde W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalesund W Molde W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalesund W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalesund W's goal record stands at 96% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Molde W let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Aalesund W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aalesund W VS Molde W
3.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalesund W

(Home)
26 Sept
Rosenborg W
1 : 1
Aalesund W
20 Sept
Aalesund W
4 : 1
Molde W
11 Sept
Bodo/Glimt W
0 : 2
Aalesund W
06 Sept
Brann W
3 : 1
Aalesund W
31 Aug
Honefoss W
0 : 1
Aalesund W
Page 1 of 6

Molde W

(Away)
26 Sept
Molde W
0 : 4
Valerenga W
20 Sept
Aalesund W
4 : 1
Molde W
13 Sept
Molde W
0 : 1
Honefoss W
22 Aug
Molde W
1 : 0
LSK Kvinner W
15 Aug
Roa W
1 : 1
Molde W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kongsvinger W 2
Grei W 5
Bodo/Glimt W -
TBD -
Ovrevoll Hosle W 1
Frigg W 2
TBD -
Lyn W -
Fana W 3
Klepp W 2
Lyngbo W 2
Fyllingsdalen W 5
Forde W 0
Sogndal W 5
TBD -
Brann W -
Raufoss W 0
Viking W 2
TBD -
Haugesund W -
Grimstad W 1
Bryne W 3
Arendal W 0
Start W 7
Ranheim W 1
Tynset W 4
TBD -
LSK Kvinner W -
Sarpsborg 08 W 2
Kolbotn W 0
TBD -
Honefoss W -
Sandefjord W 2
Arna-Bjornar W 3
KFUM Oslo W 0
Asane W 3
Rana FK W 1
Malvik W 3
TBD -
Rosenborg W -
Alta W 3
Krokelvdalen W 0
TBD -
Roa W -
Stromsgodset W 1
Odds BK W 2
TBD -
Stabaek W -
Melbo W 1
Medkila W 8
Lillestrom W 1
Tromso W 9
Storhamar Fotball W 0
Ham-Kam W 3
Valerenga W -
TBD -
Hodd W 0
Kil/Hemne W 3
TBD -
Aalesund W -
Steinkjer W 0
Tiller W 4
TBD -
Molde W -
1/16-finals
Grei W 3
Bodo/Glimt W 1
Frigg W 0
Lyn W 4
Fana W 2
Fyllingsdalen W 1
Sogndal W 1
Brann W 5
Viking W 3
Haugesund W 2
Bryne W 1
Start W 2
Tynset W 0
LSK Kvinner W 3
Sarpsborg 08 W 0
Honefoss W 2
Arna-Bjornar W 1
Asane W 0
Malvik W 0
Rosenborg W 15
Alta W 0
Roa W 10
Odds BK W 0
Stabaek W 4
Medkila W 0
Tromso W 7
Ham-Kam W 1
Valerenga W 8
Kil/Hemne W 1
Aalesund W 6
Tiller W 1
Molde W 3
1/8-finals
Grei W 1
Lyn W 4
Fana W 0
Brann W 3
Viking W 3
Start W 0
LSK Kvinner W 2
Honefoss W 3
Arna-Bjornar W 4
Rosenborg W 0
Roa W 1
Stabaek W 2
Tromso W 1
Valerenga W 3
Aalesund W 5
Molde W 1
Quarter-finals
Lyn W 0
Brann W 2
Viking W 4
Honefoss W 2
Arna-Bjornar W 2
Stabaek W 3
Valerenga W 1
Aalesund W 2
Semi-finals
Brann W 3
Viking W 0
Stabaek W 3
Aalesund W 4
Final
Brann W 3
Aalesund W 1