Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aalst vs Waregem 2

Belgium Belgium

Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2023/2024 Pierre Cornelisstadion, Aalst
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2023/2024 game between Aalst and Waregem 2 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aalst.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Aalst
15%
Draws
34%
Waregem 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalst

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Aalst carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Aalst a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Aalst Clean Sheet 18%
Waregem 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalst Waregem 2
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 18 11
Draws 6 12
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.74 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2024 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Aalst vs Waregem 2
1:0
Sep 13, 2023 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Waregem 2 vs Aalst
0:0
Feb 26, 2023 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Aalst vs Waregem 2
1:0
Dec 4, 2022 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Waregem 2 vs Aalst
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalst 85 / 100
Waregem 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalst Waregem 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalst Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalst's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Waregem 2 let in goals in 86% of their last 35 matches.

Aalst has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Waregem 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Waregem 2
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalst

(Home)
05 May
Aalst
1 : 3
Gullegem
28 Apr
KRC Harelbeke
1 : 0
Aalst
21 Apr
Aalst
3 : 0
Ninove
14 Apr
Olsa Brakel
2 : 3
Aalst
07 Apr
Aalst
4 : 1
Oostkamp
Page 1 of 7

Waregem 2

(Away)
14 May
Waregem 2
1 : 2
Boom
10 May
KRC Harelbeke
3 : 0
Waregem 2
03 May
Bocholter
2 : 3
Waregem 2
26 Apr
Waregem 2
4 : 1
FC Lebbeke
18 Apr
KV Mechelen 2
3 : 0
Waregem 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aalst 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
2 Ninove 34 17 7 10 57:48 58
3 Dikkelvenne 34 15 11 8 67:48 56
4 Merelbeke 34 16 6 12 68:43 54
5 Cercle Brugge 2 34 16 5 13 64:51 53
6 Voorde Appelterre 34 15 8 11 54:56 53
7 Oudenaarde 34 13 11 10 45:39 50
8 Oostkamp 34 14 7 13 58:68 49
9 Waregem 2 34 14 6 14 53:44 48
10 Gullegem 34 14 5 15 57:64 47
11 Torhout 34 13 8 13 47:61 47
12 KRC Gent 34 13 6 15 54:53 45
13 Zelzate 34 12 6 16 63:60 42
14 Olsa Brakel 34 11 6 17 38:47 39
15 KRC Harelbeke 34 9 12 13 47:56 39
16 Petegem 34 10 8 16 54:63 38
17 Mandel United 34 10 7 17 27:46 37
18 RFC Wetteren 34 8 8 18 49:80 32
Promotion - Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)