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Aarau vs St. Gallen II

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Stober D.
44' Event
Jordan E.
66' Event
Rudlinger F.

AI Match Summary

St. Gallen II in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Gallen II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Aarau
15%
Draws
64%
St. Gallen II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Gallen II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • St. Gallen II have won more games recently than Aarau.
  • Model gives St. Gallen II a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Aarau Clean Sheet 10%
St. Gallen II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aarau St. Gallen II
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.79 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Aarau vs St. Gallen II
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aarau Compare

Top Goalscorer Jordan E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

St. Gallen II Compare

Top Goalscorer Stober D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rudlinger F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aarau 10 / 100
St. Gallen II 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aarau St. Gallen II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Gallen II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aarau's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

St. Gallen II let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Aarau has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aarau VS St. Gallen II
2 Goals Scored 2.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aarau

(Home)
02 Oct
Aarau
1 : 2
Young Boys
24 Sept
Grasshoppers
4 : 1
Aarau
18 Sept
Winterthur
2 : 1
Aarau
12 Sept
Aarau
2 : 2
Kriens
04 Sept
Aarau
3 : 2
Rapperswil-Jona
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St. Gallen II

(Away)
04 Oct
Winterthur II
1 : 2
St. Gallen II
26 Sept
St. Gallen II
2 : 0
Collina d'Oro
20 Sept
Mendrisio
1 : 3
St. Gallen II
13 Sept
St. Gallen II
5 : 1
Kosova
05 Sept
Thalwil
5 : 1
St. Gallen II
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