Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Aarau host Wil in the Challenge League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Wil have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Aarau have conceded 1.72 and scored 1.76. Past meetings favor Aarau slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 31, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.81, favoring Aarau. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Aarau lately — more wins on the board than Wil.
- Win probability leans Aarau's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aarau | Wil |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aarau found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
Wil has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Aarau remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Aarau
(Home)Wil
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lausanne Ouchy | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 20:3 | 25 |
| 2 | Yverdon | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 21:11 | 22 |
| 3 | Winterthur | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Xamax | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 5 | Kriens | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:17 | 15 |
| 6 | Aarau | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:20 | 12 |
| 7 | Etoile-Carouge | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:15 | 12 |
| 8 | Rapperswil-Jona | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:21 | 11 |
| 9 | Wil | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18:24 | 11 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8:28 | 5 |
