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Aarau W vs Luzern W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Super League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Baraniak R.

AI Match Summary

The Super League Women game between Aarau W and Luzern W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luzern W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Aarau W
30%
Draws
62%
Luzern W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Luzern W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Luzern W come out ahead of Aarau W on wins alone.
  • Luzern W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Aarau W Clean Sheet 10%
Luzern W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aarau W Luzern W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 2 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 0.69 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.31 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Super League Women
Aarau W vs Luzern W
0:1
Feb 20, 2026 Super League Women
Luzern W vs Aarau W
2:3
Sep 6, 2025 Super League Women
Aarau W vs Luzern W
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 Super League Women
Aarau W vs Luzern W
4:1
Oct 12, 2024 Super League Women
Luzern W vs Aarau W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aarau W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Luzern W Compare

Top Goalscorer Baraniak R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aarau W 10 / 100
Luzern W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aarau W Luzern W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luzern W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luzern W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Aarau W scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Aarau W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aarau W VS Luzern W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
3.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aarau W

(Home)
03 Oct
Rapperswil-Jona W
5 : 2
Aarau W
19 Sept
Aarau W
1 : 2
Young Boys W
13 Sept
Yverdon W
4 : 1
Aarau W
09 Sept
St. Gallen W
2 : 2
Aarau W
05 Sept
Aarau W
0 : 1
Luzern W
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Luzern W

(Away)
03 Oct
Young Boys W
2 : 1
Luzern W
18 Sept
Luzern W
3 : 3
Yverdon W
13 Sept
Grasshopper W
0 : 0
Luzern W
09 Sept
Luzern W
2 : 0
Rapperswil-Jona W
05 Sept
Aarau W
0 : 1
Luzern W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Servette W 8 6 1 1 18:8 19
2 Grasshopper W 8 5 2 1 23:8 17
3 Zurich W 8 4 3 1 21:10 15
4 Young Boys W 8 4 3 1 14:10 15
5 Basel W 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
6 Luzern W 8 3 2 3 13:11 11
7 Yverdon W 8 2 2 4 14:16 8
8 Rapperswil-Jona W 8 2 2 4 15:20 8
9 St. Gallen W 8 1 1 6 7:21 4
10 Aarau W 8 0 1 7 7:30 1
Promotion - Super League Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Super League Women (Relegation)