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Aarhus Fremad vs Horsens

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 Riisvangen
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aarhus Fremad play Horsens in the 1st Division 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aarhus Fremad averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. Horsens averaged 1.54 goals scored and 0.96 conceded. In past meetings, Aarhus Fremad won 1, Horsens won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 14, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Aarhus Fremad and 1.25 for Horsens. This points to a Horsens double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Aarhus Fremad
35%
Draws
36%
Horsens
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Horsens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Aarhus Fremad picked up more points recently compared to Horsens.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Aarhus Fremad Clean Sheet 19%
Horsens Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aarhus Fremad Horsens
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 9 13
Draws 11 6
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.69 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 1st Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Horsens
0:0
Jul 19, 2025 1st Division
Horsens vs Aarhus Fremad
0:0
Jan 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Horsens vs Aarhus Fremad
0:4
Jan 15, 2022 Club Friendly
Horsens vs Aarhus Fremad
5:0
Jul 10, 2021 Club Friendly
Horsens vs Aarhus Fremad
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aarhus Fremad 30 / 100
Horsens 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aarhus Fremad Horsens

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Horsens or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aarhus Fremad attacking → ← attacking Horsens

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aarhus Fremad scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Horsens let in goals in 54% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Aarhus Fremad went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Horsens lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 45
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lyngby22126449:2542
2Hvidovre IF22109334:2339
3Hillerod22107533:2937
4Esbjerg22114732:2937
5Kolding IF2296729:2333
6Horsens2286826:2430
7Aalborg2277833:3128
8Boldklubben 189322841026:3628
9Aarhus Fremad2269732:2727
10Hobro2267922:3125
11Koge22551226:4120
12Middelfart22261421:4412