Sport Picks

Aarhus vs Benfica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe

Europa League Cepheus Park, Randers

Aarhus

1 - 3

Benfica

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Prestianni G.

Assist: Bah A.

25'

Camara M.

45'

Carstensen R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Aarhus

20%

Draws

48%

Benfica

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence

Benfica carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Benfica arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Benfica, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 4 times recently and Benfica have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%

Aarhus Clean Sheet 10%

Benfica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aarhus	Benfica
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	10	20
Draws	8	5
Losses	10	3
Goals Scored	1.86	2.86
Goals Conceded	1.57	0.93
Expected Goals (xG)	1.31	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 Europa League

Aarhus vs Benfica

1:3

Aug 20, 2026 Europa League

Benfica vs Aarhus

3:1

Nov 4, 1987 Champions League

Benfica vs Aarhus

1:0

Oct 21, 1987 Champions League

Aarhus vs Benfica

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aarhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Carstensen R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.01

Avg xA / game 0.66

Benfica Compare

Top Goalscorer Prestianni G.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Silva R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aarhus 30 / 100

Benfica 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aarhus Benfica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aarhus found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Benfica let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Aarhus stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aarhus VS Benfica

1.88 Goals Scored 2.88

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75

88% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aarhus

(Home)

22 Oct

Aarhus

1 : 1

KF Egnatia

18 Oct

FC Copenhagen

1 : 1

Aarhus

15 Oct

Gent

1 : 0

Aarhus

12 Oct

Aarhus

3 : 0

Sonderjyske

02 Oct

Aarhus

2 : 1

Vendsyssel FF

Page 1 of 6

Benfica

(Away)

22 Oct

Omonia

1 : 4

Benfica

15 Oct

Benfica

4 : 1

Celtic

11 Oct

Benfica

2 : 0

Vitoria Guimaraes

20 Sept

FC Porto

3 : 1

Benfica

16 Sept

AC Milan

0 : 2

Benfica

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Trabzonspor -

TBD -

Twente -

TBD -

Vojvodina 1

Ferencvaros 5

TBD -

Gornik Zabrze -

KuPS -

TBD -

Univ. Craiova -

TBD -

Ararat-Armenia -

St. Truiden -

TBD -

Lincoln Red Imps -

TBD -

Omonia -

Crvena zvezda -

TBD -

Plzen -

Shamrock Rovers -

TBD -

KF Egnatia -

TBD -

Lillestrom -

Jagiellonia -

TBD -

Rangers -

Larne -

TBD -

Iberia 1999 -

Mjallby -

TBD -

Hajduk Split 3

Zilina 2

TBD -

Pafos -

TBD -

Salzburg -

Kairat Almaty -

TBD -

Dynamo Kyiv 1

Universitatea Cluj 0

TBD -

PAOK -

Hammarby -

TBD -

Anderlecht -

Lech Poznan -

TBD -

Klaksvik -

Thun -

TBD -

Vikingur Reykjavik -

Tromso -

TBD -

Hradec Kralove -

Besiktas -

TBD -

Midtjylland -

TBD -

FK Kauno Zalgiris -

St. Gallen -

TBD -

Benfica -

TBD -

Hearts -

TBD -

Aarhus -

OFI Crete -

TBD -

Sheriff Tiraspol 1

Aluminij 0

TBD -

Maccabi Tel Aviv -

Qarabag Agdam 6

Vestri 0

CSKA Sofia 5

Derry City 3

Quarter-finals

Trabzonspor -

TBD -

Twente 3

Ferencvaros 4

TBD -

Gornik Zabrze -

KuPS -

TBD -

Univ. Craiova -

TBD -

Ararat-Armenia -

St. Truiden -

TBD -

Lincoln Red Imps -

TBD -

Omonia -

Crvena zvezda -

TBD -

Plzen -

Shamrock Rovers -

TBD -

KF Egnatia -

TBD -

Lillestrom -

Jagiellonia -

TBD -

Rangers -

Larne -

TBD -

Iberia 1999 -

Mjallby -

TBD -

Hajduk Split 2

Pafos 4

TBD -

Salzburg -

Kairat Almaty -

TBD -

Dynamo Kyiv 2

PAOK 5

Hammarby 2

Anderlecht 4

Lech Poznan -

TBD -

Klaksvik -

Thun -

TBD -

Vikingur Reykjavik -

Tromso 1

Hradec Kralove 4

Besiktas 3

Midtjylland 0

TBD -

FK Kauno Zalgiris -

St. Gallen 2

Benfica 6

TBD -

Hearts -

TBD -

Aarhus -

OFI Crete -

TBD -

Sheriff Tiraspol 0

Maccabi Tel Aviv 6

Qarabag Agdam 0

CSKA Sofia 1

Semi-finals

Trabzonspor -

TBD -

Ferencvaros 2

Gornik Zabrze 1

KuPS 2

Univ. Craiova 3

TBD -

Ararat-Armenia -

St. Truiden -

TBD -

Lincoln Red Imps 1

Omonia 2

Crvena zvezda -

TBD -

Plzen -

Shamrock Rovers 4

KF Egnatia 6

TBD -

Lillestrom -

Jagiellonia 3

Rangers 2

Larne 1

Iberia 1999 2

Mjallby -

TBD -

Pafos 3

Salzburg 4

Kairat Almaty -

TBD -

PAOK 2

Anderlecht 4

Lech Poznan 6

Klaksvik 0

Thun 5

Vikingur Reykjavik 3

Hradec Kralove 0

Besiktas 2

TBD -

FK Kauno Zalgiris -

Benfica 7

Hearts 2

TBD -

Aarhus -

OFI Crete -

TBD -

Maccabi Tel Aviv 3

CSKA Sofia 4

Final

Trabzonspor 0

Ferencvaros 5

Univ. Craiova 1

Ararat-Armenia 2

St. Truiden 3

Omonia 4

Crvena zvezda 4

Plzen 5

KF Egnatia 1

Lillestrom 2

Jagiellonia 6

Iberia 1999 1

Mjallby 0

Salzburg 4

Kairat Almaty 0

Anderlecht 6

Lech Poznan 9

Thun 2

Besiktas 3

FK Kauno Zalgiris 1

Benfica 6

Aarhus 2

OFI Crete 5

CSKA Sofia 0

Aarhus vs Benfica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe

Aarhus

Benfica

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Aarhus Compare

Benfica Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Aarhus

Benfica

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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