Sport Picks
Match Events
29'
29'
Ishak M.
Assist: Pereira J.
37'
37'
Hansen J.
40'
40'
Sub
Jorgensen S. In: Hedenstad M.
Out: Jorgensen S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-5. The second leg ended 1-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lech Poznan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Lech Poznan come out ahead of Aarhus on wins alone.
- Model gives Aarhus a 36% chance of winning this.
- Lech Poznan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Lech Poznan, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Aarhus Clean Sheet 10%
Lech Poznan Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aarhus | Lech Poznan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 20 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 2.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 29, 2026 Champions League
Lech Poznan vs Aarhus
1:5
Jul 21, 2026 Champions League
Aarhus vs Lech Poznan
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aarhus Compare
Top Goalscorer Arnstad K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Lech Poznan Compare
Top Goalscorer Walemark P.
2 Goals Assists Leader Ishak M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aarhus 34 / 100
Lech Poznan 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aarhus Lech Poznan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aarhus scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Lech Poznan conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
Solid form: Aarhus remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Aarhus VS Lech Poznan
1 Goals Scored 2.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Aarhus
(Home) 20 Sept
Horsens
2 : 2 Aarhus
16 Sept
Skjold
1 : 6 Aarhus
13 Sept
Nordsjaelland
2 : 0 Aarhus
05 Sept
Aarhus
2 : 2 Silkeborg
02 Sept
Aarhus
0 : 2 Midtjylland
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Aarhus
2 : 2 Silkeborg
02 Sept
Aarhus
0 : 2 Midtjylland
27 Aug
Aarhus
1 : 3 Benfica
23 Aug
Aarhus
2 : 2 Odense
05 Aug
Aarhus
2 : 1 Sabah Baku
Page 1 of 4
Lech Poznan
(Away) 20 Sept
Lech Poznan
5 : 1 Radomiak Radom
17 Sept
Crystal Palace
4 : 0 Lech Poznan
12 Sept
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 1 Lech Poznan
06 Sept
Lech Poznan
1 : 0 Rakow Czestochowa
03 Sept
Lech Poznan
2 : 1 Jagiellonia
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Crystal Palace
4 : 0 Lech Poznan
12 Sept
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 1 Lech Poznan
30 Aug
Widzew Lodz
2 : 3 Lech Poznan
27 Aug
Thun
2 : 2 Lech Poznan
14 Aug
Klaksvik
0 : 5 Lech Poznan
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Borac Banja Luka 1
Levski Sofia 5
ML Vitebsk 1
Univ. Craiova 5
Omonia -
TBD -
Kairat Almaty 4
Sutjeska 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Klaksvik 4
Bissen 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Drita 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps 4
Inter Escaldes 2
Flora 4
Iberia 1999 5
TBD -
Slovan Bratislava -
Ararat-Armenia 4
Riga FC 3
Floriana 3
Shamrock Rovers 5
Petrocub Hincesti 2
KF Egnatia 7
TBD -
Celje -
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Gyor 2
TBD -
H. Beer Sheva -
Tre Fiori 1
Larne 3
TBD -
Crvena zvezda -
Aarhus -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sabah Baku 4
TNS 1
Vardar 3
KuPS 4
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Sturm Graz -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Quarter-finals
Levski Sofia 3
Univ. Craiova 2
Omonia 1
Kairat Almaty 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun 3
Din. Zagreb 4
Klaksvik 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 3
Lincoln Red Imps 0
Iberia 1999 1
Slovan Bratislava 3
Ararat-Armenia 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
KF Egnatia 5
Celje 6
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
H. Beer Sheva 3
Larne 0
Crvena zvezda 9
Aarhus 6
Lech Poznan 5
Sabah Baku 3
KuPS 0
Fenerbahce 2
Gornik Zabrze 1
Sturm Graz 6
Hearts 0
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Semi-finals
Levski Sofia 2
Kairat Almaty 0
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Din. Zagreb 7
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 1
Slovan Bratislava 4
Ararat-Armenia 2
Celje 3
H. Beer Sheva 3
Crvena zvezda 0
Aarhus 2
Sabah Baku 5
Fenerbahce 3
Sturm Graz 0
Sparta Prague 2
Lyon 4
Olympiacos Piraeus 1
Nijmegen 2
Royale Union SG 5
Bodo/Glimt 6
Final
Levski Sofia 0
AEK 4
Celtic 4
LASK Linz 5
Din. Zagreb 3
Viking 5
Slovan Bratislava 3
Celje 2
H. Beer Sheva 4
Sabah Baku 6
Fenerbahce 3
Lyon 2
Nijmegen 1
Bodo/Glimt 6
