Sport Picks

Europe

Champions League Cepheus Park, Randers

Aarhus

1 - 4

Lech Poznan

Our Tip

Match Events

29'

Ishak M.

Assist: Pereira J.

37'

Hansen J.

40'

Sub

Jorgensen S. In: Hedenstad M.

Out: Jorgensen S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with Lech Poznan advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Aarhus

44%

Draws

20%

Lech Poznan

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Lech Poznan come out ahead of Aarhus on wins alone.
Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
Lech Poznan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%

Aarhus Clean Sheet 12%

Lech Poznan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aarhus	Lech Poznan
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	16	18
Draws	8	6
Losses	4	6
Goals Scored	2.13	2.63
Goals Conceded	0.88	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aarhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Arnstad K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Lech Poznan Compare

Top Goalscorer Walemark P.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Ishak M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.39

Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aarhus 35 / 100

Lech Poznan 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aarhus Lech Poznan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEC Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aarhus scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Lech Poznan has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Aarhus remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aarhus VS Lech Poznan

2.13 Goals Scored 2.63

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75

88% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Aarhus

(Home)

15 Jul

Aarhus

2 : 0

Horsens

11 Jul

Royale Union SG

2 : 1

Aarhus

05 Jul

Aarhus

4 : 0

Motherwell

27 Jun

Aarhus

1 : 1

Viborg

17 May

Aarhus

6 : 2

Viborg

Page 1 of 6

Lech Poznan

(Away)

16 Jul

Lech Poznan

3 : 1

Gornik Zabrze

11 Jul

Lech Poznan

4 : 0

Bohemians 1905

04 Jul

Lech Poznan

3 : 1

Podbrezova

23 May

Lech Poznan

2 : 2

Wisla Plock

16 May

Radomiak Radom

1 : 3

Lech Poznan

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Thun-

TBD-

Din. Zagreb-

Klaksvik4

Bissen2

FK Kauno Zalgiris4

Drita3

Mjallby-

TBD-

Lincoln Red Imps4

Inter Escaldes2

Flora4

Iberia 19995

TBD-

Slovan Bratislava-

Borac Banja Luka1

Levski Sofia5

ML Vitebsk1

Univ. Craiova5

Omonia-

TBD-

Kairat Almaty4

Sutjeska1

Aarhus-

TBD-

Lech Poznan-

Sabah Baku4

TNS1

Vardar3

KuPS4

Ararat-Armenia4

Riga FC3

Floriana3

Shamrock Rovers5

Petrocub Hincesti2

KF Egnatia7

TBD-

Celje-

Vikingur Reykjavik3

Gyor2

TBD-

H. Beer Sheva-

Tre Fiori1

Larne3

TBD-

Crvena zvezda-

Olympiacos Piraeus-

TBD-

Nijmegen-

Royale Union SG-

TBD-

Bodo/Glimt-

Fenerbahce-

TBD-

Gornik Zabrze-

Sturm Graz-

TBD-

Hearts-

Sparta Prague-

TBD-

Lyon-

TBD-

Quarter-finals

Thun-

Din. Zagreb-

Klaksvik-

FK Kauno Zalgiris-

Mjallby-

Lincoln Red Imps-

Iberia 1999-

Slovan Bratislava-

Levski Sofia-

Univ. Craiova-

Omonia-

Kairat Almaty-

Aarhus-

Lech Poznan-

Sabah Baku-

KuPS-

Ararat-Armenia-

Shamrock Rovers-

KF Egnatia-

Celje-

Vikingur Reykjavik-

H. Beer Sheva-

Larne-

Crvena zvezda-

Olympiacos Piraeus-

TBD-

Nijmegen-

Royale Union SG-

TBD-

Bodo/Glimt-

Fenerbahce-

Gornik Zabrze-

Sturm Graz-

Hearts-

Sparta Prague-

TBD-

Lyon-

TBD-

Semi-finals

TBD-

Olympiacos Piraeus-

Nijmegen-

Royale Union SG-

Bodo/Glimt-

TBD-

Sparta Prague-

Lyon-

TBD-

Final

TBD-

Aarhus vs Lech Poznan

Europe

Aarhus

Lech Poznan

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Aarhus Compare

Lech Poznan Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Aarhus

Lech Poznan

Tournament Bracket & Draw