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Aarhus vs Motherwell

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
57' Event
69' Event

AI Match Summary

Aarhus in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aarhus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Aarhus
30%
Draws
31%
Motherwell
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aarhus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Aarhus have won more games recently than Motherwell.
  • Aarhus are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Aarhus Clean Sheet 10%
Motherwell Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aarhus Motherwell
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 11 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.81 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Aarhus vs Motherwell
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aarhus 74 / 100
Motherwell 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aarhus Motherwell

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aarhus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aarhus found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Motherwell has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Aarhus went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aarhus VS Motherwell
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aarhus

(Home)
20 Sept
Horsens
2 : 2
Aarhus
16 Sept
Skjold
1 : 6
Aarhus
13 Sept
Nordsjaelland
2 : 0
Aarhus
05 Sept
Aarhus
2 : 2
Silkeborg
02 Sept
Aarhus
0 : 2
Midtjylland
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Motherwell

(Away)
19 Sept
Dundee FC
2 : 1
Motherwell
15 Sept
Motherwell
0 : 4
Aberdeen
05 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
Motherwell
02 Sept
Motherwell
3 : 0
Dundee Utd
30 Aug
St. Mirren
3 : 3
Motherwell
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