Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aarhus W vs Fortuna Hjorring W

Denmark Denmark

A-Liga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aarhus W play Fortuna Hjorring W in the A-Liga Women 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aarhus W averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Fortuna Hjorring W averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Aarhus W won 1, Fortuna Hjorring W won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Aarhus W and 1.50 for Fortuna Hjorring W. This points to a Fortuna Hjorring W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Aarhus W
15%
Draws
52%
Fortuna Hjorring W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fortuna Hjorring W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Aarhus W picked up more points recently compared to Fortuna Hjorring W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Aarhus W Clean Sheet 16%
Fortuna Hjorring W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aarhus W Fortuna Hjorring W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 A-Liga Women
Fortuna Hjorring W vs Aarhus W
2:1
Mar 24, 2026 A-Liga Women
Aarhus W vs Fortuna Hjorring W
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 A-Liga Women
Aarhus W vs Fortuna Hjorring W
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 A-Liga Women
Fortuna Hjorring W vs Aarhus W
4:0
May 24, 2025 A-Liga Women
Fortuna Hjorring W vs Aarhus W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aarhus W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Fortuna Hjorring W Compare

Top Goalscorer Olar-Spanu F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aarhus W 33 / 100
Fortuna Hjorring W 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aarhus W Fortuna Hjorring W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fortuna Hjorring W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aarhus W attacking → ← attacking Fortuna Hjorring W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aarhus W scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Fortuna Hjorring W let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Aarhus W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Fortuna Hjorring W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 52
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Koge W24165350:2253
2Brondby W24148239:1650
3Fortuna Hjorring W24125737:2141
4Nordsjaelland W24910547:2637
5Aarhus W24751226:3426
6KoldingQ W24531625:5518