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Stadium Background

Aarhus W vs Koge W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

A-Liga Women
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Paulson C.
Assist: Carusa K.
39'
Poulsen J.
40' Event
Gejl M.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The A-Liga Women game between Aarhus W and Koge W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Koge W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Aarhus W
20%
Draws
58%
Koge W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Koge W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Aarhus W haven't matched Koge W's recent run of results.
  • Koge W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Koge W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Aarhus W Clean Sheet 10%
Koge W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aarhus W Koge W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 20
Draws 3 4
Losses 21 4
Goals Scored 0.96 2.36
Goals Conceded 2.21 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 A-Liga Women
Aarhus W vs Koge W
0:2
May 31, 2026 A-Liga Women
Aarhus W vs Koge W
0:3
Apr 5, 2026 A-Liga Women
Koge W vs Aarhus W
2:0
Dec 6, 2025 Danish Cup Women
Koge W vs Aarhus W
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 A-Liga Women
Koge W vs Aarhus W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aarhus W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Koge W Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulson C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gejl M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aarhus W 10 / 100
Koge W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aarhus W Koge W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Koge W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Koge W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Aarhus W's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Aarhus W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aarhus W VS Koge W
1.25 Goals Scored 2.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aarhus W

(Home)
21 Oct
Viborg W
2 : 3
Aarhus W
17 Oct
Aarhus W
1 : 3
ASA Aarhus W
03 Oct
KoldingQ W
2 : 1
Aarhus W
29 Sept
Odense W
1 : 0
Aarhus W
22 Sept
Aarhus W
0 : 2
Nordsjaelland W
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Koge W

(Away)
20 Oct
Koge W
1 : 1
Brondby W
04 Oct
Nordsjaelland W
2 : 2
Koge W
01 Oct
Koge W
5 : 1
Servette W
26 Sept
Koge W
4 : 1
KoldingQ W
22 Sept
Arsenal W
1 : 0
Koge W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Koge W 11 8 2 1 31:12 26
2 Nordsjaelland W 11 6 4 1 32:12 22
3 Brondby W 11 6 3 2 26:9 21
4 Fortuna Hjorring W 11 5 3 3 23:12 18
5 Midtjylland W 11 5 3 3 15:13 18
6 ASA Aarhus W 11 5 1 5 15:20 16
7 KoldingQ W 11 4 1 6 20:29 13
8 Odense W 11 4 1 6 8:22 13
9 FC Copenhagen W 11 2 0 9 13:35 6
10 Aarhus W 11 1 0 10 8:27 3
Promotion - A-Liga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - B-Liga Women (Promotion)