Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aarhus W vs Koge W

Denmark Denmark

A-Liga Women
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aarhus W host Koge W in the A-Liga Women. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Aarhus W at 1.56 goals for, 1.81 against; Koge W at 2.19 for, 0.89 against. Past meetings favor Koge W slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 31, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (0.50 xG vs 1.81) point toward Koge W. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Aarhus W
15%
Draws
78%
Koge W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Koge W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Aarhus W haven't matched Koge W's recent run of results.
  • Koge W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Koge W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Aarhus W Clean Sheet 11%
Koge W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aarhus W Koge W
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 9 16
Draws 3 6
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.56 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.81 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 A-Liga Women
Aarhus W vs Koge W
0:3
Apr 5, 2026 A-Liga Women
Koge W vs Aarhus W
2:0
Dec 6, 2025 Danish Cup Women
Koge W vs Aarhus W
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 A-Liga Women
Koge W vs Aarhus W
2:0
Sep 13, 2025 A-Liga Women
Aarhus W vs Koge W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aarhus W 10 / 100
Koge W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aarhus W Koge W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Koge W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Aarhus W found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (27 games).

Koge W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Aarhus W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aarhus W VS Koge W
0.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aarhus W

(Home)
02 Aug
Aarhus W
0 : 4
KoldingQ W
25 Jul
ASA Aarhus W
3 : 1
Aarhus W
13 Jun
Brondby W
3 : 0
Aarhus W
31 May
Aarhus W
0 : 3
Koge W
24 May
Aarhus W
0 : 0
Nordsjaelland W
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Koge W

(Away)
08 Aug
Koge W
2 : 1
Hearts W
05 Aug
Koge W
4 : 1
Riga FC W
01 Aug
Koge W
4 : 0
ASA Aarhus W
28 Jul
FC Copenhagen W
0 : 3
Koge W
17 Jul
Hammarby W
3 : 0
Koge W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Koge W 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Odense W 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
3 Fortuna Hjorring W 2 1 1 0 6:2 4
4 KoldingQ W 2 1 0 1 6:6 3
5 ASA Aarhus W 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
6 Brondby W 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
7 Midtjylland W 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
8 Nordsjaelland W 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
9 FC Copenhagen W 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
10 Aarhus W 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - A-Liga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - B-Liga Women (Promotion)