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Abbey Villa vs Dunmurry Rec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2015/2016
Sat, Nov 7, 2015
2 - 1
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Abbey Villa advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Abbey Villa
15%
Draws
48%
Dunmurry Rec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dunmurry Rec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Abbey Villa haven't matched Dunmurry Rec's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Dunmurry Rec arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Abbey Villa, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 95%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Abbey Villa Clean Sheet 10%
Dunmurry Rec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abbey Villa Dunmurry Rec
Matches Played 21 27
Wins 10 15
Draws 1 2
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.05 2.22
Goals Conceded 2.05 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2015 Irish Cup
Abbey Villa vs Dunmurry Rec
2:1
Nov 22, 2008 Irish Cup
Dunmurry Rec vs Abbey Villa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abbey Villa 34 / 100
Dunmurry Rec 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abbey Villa Dunmurry Rec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunmurry Rec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Abbey Villa scored in 76% of their last 21 games.

Dunmurry Rec's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Abbey Villa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Abbey Villa VS Dunmurry Rec
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Abbey Villa

(Home)
23 Jul
Abbey Villa
2 : 2
Ards
17 Aug
St. James' Swifts
4 : 1
Abbey Villa
05 Jan
Portadown
5 : 1
Abbey Villa
01 Dec
Tullycarnet
3 : 4
Abbey Villa
03 Nov
Shorts
1 : 3
Abbey Villa
Page 1 of 5

Dunmurry Rec

(Away)
11 Jul
Ballymacash
0 : 1
Dunmurry Rec
02 Nov
Banbridge
2 : 1
Dunmurry Rec
28 Sept
Dunmurry Rec
3 : 2
Newbuildings
17 Aug
Rosemount Rec
2 : 3
Dunmurry Rec
29 Sept
Dunmurry Rec
1 : 4
Dungiven
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Linfield -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Ballymena -
Portstewart -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
Lisburn Rangers 3
Dromore Amateurs 0
Bloomfield 1
Desertmartin 4
Ballywalter Recreation 4
Iveagh Utd 2
Foundry 0
Tandragee 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Dergview -
Newtowne FC 5
Dungiven 1
TBD -
Groomsport -
Newcastle 3
Ballynahinch Olympic 2
Colin Valley 1
Dromara 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Immaculata 2
Bangor Old Boys 1
Laurelvale 1
Dunmurry Y.M. 8
Rathcoole 3
Ballymacash 2
Craigavon City 3
Lower Maze 4
TBD -
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Dundela -
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Cliftonville -
Portadown -
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Glebe -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Ballinamallard -
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Coleraine -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Lisburn Distillery -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Ardglass 2
Saintfield 1
Bryansburn 2
Killyleagh Youth 3
Malachians 1
Grove 0
Windmill 0
Comber Rec 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
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Wellington Rec 1
Lurgan Town Boys 0
Oxford Sunnyside 2
Rosario Youth 7
Rathfern Rangers 4
Richhill 2
Ballynahinch United 2
Valley Rangers 4
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Ards -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Glentoran -
PSNI -
TBD -
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Newington FC -
Queens University -
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Tobermore -
Larne -
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Limavady -
Trojans 2
Islandmagee 1
Orangefield Old Boys' 1
Derriaghy 4
Seapatrick 1
Killymoon 0
Portaferry Rovers 0
Banbridge Rangers 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Carrick Rangers -
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Crumlin United 3
Nortel 2
TBD -
Seagoe -
Moneyslane FC 2
Barn 1
Chimney 3
Downshire Y.M. 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
Oxford Stars -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne Technical Old Boys -
Shankill 4
Donard 2
Markethill 1
St. Patricks Young 2
St. Marys 3
Fivemiletown 2
TBD -
Downpatrick -
Strabane Athletic 11
Kilmore Rec 0
East Belfast 1
Ards Rangers 2
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundonald 3
Broomhill 2
Drumaness 1
Dunloy 4
Newry City 5
Ardstraw 1
Shorts 0
Crumlin Star 3
Dungannon -
TBD -
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Warrenpoint -
Rathfriland Rangers -
TBD -
Newbuildings 2
Crewe 3
Brantwood 2
Magherafelt 1
Ballynure Old Boys 1
Sirocco 2
Dunmurry Rec -
TBD -
Ballymoney 1
Hanover 5
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3
Mossley FC 1
U. U. Jordanstown 1
Abbey Villa 4
TBD -
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Crusaders -
1/128-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
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Ballymena -
Portstewart -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
Lisburn Rangers 2
Desertmartin 1
Ballywalter Recreation 0
Tandragee 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Newtowne FC 4
Groomsport 1
Newcastle 1
Dromara 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Immaculata 10
Dunmurry Y.M. 0
Rathcoole 1
Lower Maze 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Portadown -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Ardglass 3
Killyleagh Youth 1
Malachians 0
Comber Rec 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 2
Rosario Youth 1
Rathfern Rangers 1
Valley Rangers 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobermore -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Trojans 6
Derriaghy 1
Seapatrick 0
Banbridge Rangers 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crumlin United 9
Seagoe 1
Moneyslane FC 2
Downshire Y.M. 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
Oxford Stars 3
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Shankill 1
St. Patricks Young 4
St. Marys 3
Downpatrick 1
Strabane Athletic 1
Ards Rangers 4
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundonald 10
Dunloy 2
Newry City 1
Crumlin Star 2
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Crewe 0
Brantwood 2
Sirocco 3
Dunmurry Rec 5
Hanover 3
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1
Abbey Villa 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/64-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portstewart -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
Lisburn Rangers 3
Tandragee 0
TBD -
Armagh -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Newtowne FC 3
Dromara 2
TBD -
Institute -
Immaculata 4
Lower Maze 2
TBD -
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Ardglass 4
Comber Rec 3
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 2
Valley Rangers 0
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobermore -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Trojans 5
Banbridge Rangers 1
TBD -
Loughgall -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crumlin United 3
Downshire Y.M. 2
TBD -
Banbridge -
Oxford Stars 1
St. Patricks Young 0
St. Marys 1
Ards Rangers 4
Ballyclare -
TBD -
Dundonald 0
Crumlin Star 5
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Sirocco 2
Dunmurry Rec 1
Abbey Villa 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/32-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portstewart 3
Moyola 1
Lisburn Rangers 0
Armagh 3
Sport & Leisure 6
Dergview 1
Newtowne FC 1
Institute 2
Immaculata 2
Dundela 0
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Portadown -
TBD -
Glebe 1
Wakehurst 2
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Knockbreda 3
Lisburn Distillery 2
Dollingstown 1
Annagh 2
Bangor FC 5
Coagh Utd 0
Ardglass 0
Lurgan Celtic 4
Glenavon -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 2
Harland & Wolff 3
Ards 7
Donegal 0
TBD -
Glentoran -
PSNI 2
Newington FC 1
Queens University 1
Tobermore 2
Larne 2
Limavady 0
Trojans 1
Loughgall 2
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
Crumlin United 3
Banbridge 4
Oxford Stars 3
Ards Rangers 2
Ballyclare 0
Crumlin Star 1
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Abbey Villa 0
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Linfield 2
Ballymena 1
Portstewart 2
Armagh 3
Sport & Leisure 3
Institute 2
Immaculata 0
Cliftonville 2
Portadown 6
Wakehurst 1
Ballinamallard 2
Coleraine 3
Knockbreda 5
Annagh 1
Bangor FC 1
Lurgan Celtic 2
Glenavon 4
Harland & Wolff 1
Ards 1
Glentoran 4
PSNI 2
Tobermore 0
Larne 2
Loughgall 5
Carrick Rangers 2
Banbridge 0
Oxford Stars 2
Crumlin Star 3
Dungannon 4
Warrenpoint 3
Rathfriland Rangers 0
Crusaders 3
1/8-finals
Linfield 7
Armagh 0
Sport & Leisure 0
Cliftonville 4
Portadown 3
Coleraine 1
Knockbreda 0
Lurgan Celtic 1
Glenavon 4
Glentoran 1
PSNI 0
Loughgall 2
Carrick Rangers 1
Crumlin Star 0
Dungannon 1
Crusaders 3
Quarter-finals
Linfield 3
Cliftonville 0
Portadown 2
Lurgan Celtic 3
Glenavon 2
Loughgall 1
Carrick Rangers 0
Crusaders 3
Semi-finals
Linfield 3
Lurgan Celtic 0
Glenavon 4
Crusaders 3
Final
Linfield 0
Glenavon 2