Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Abbey Villa vs Holywood

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Abbey Villa in this Irish Cup 2016/2017 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Abbey Villa
15%
Draws
0%
Holywood
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Abbey Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Abbey Villa lately — more wins on the board than Holywood.
  • Model gives Abbey Villa a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Abbey Villa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Abbey Villa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 57.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Abbey Villa Clean Sheet 20%
Holywood Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abbey Villa Holywood
Matches Played 21 8
Wins 10 2
Draws 1 0
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 2.05 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.05 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.62 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2016 Irish Cup
Abbey Villa vs Holywood
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abbey Villa 85 / 100
Holywood 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abbey Villa Holywood

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Abbey Villa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Holywood conceded in 100% of 8 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Difficult form: Holywood registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Abbey Villa found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (21 games).

Scoring Trends

Abbey Villa VS Holywood
2.63 Goals Scored 0.6
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.6
100% Over 1.5 80%
100% Over 2.5 80%
75% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Abbey Villa

(Home)
23 Jul
Abbey Villa
2 : 2
Ards
17 Aug
St. James' Swifts
4 : 1
Abbey Villa
05 Jan
Portadown
5 : 1
Abbey Villa
01 Dec
Tullycarnet
3 : 4
Abbey Villa
03 Nov
Shorts
1 : 3
Abbey Villa
Page 1 of 5

Holywood

(Away)
17 Aug
Holywood
1 : 4
Newbuildings
18 Aug
Holywood
1 : 2
Newbuildings
20 Aug
Abbey Villa
5 : 0
Holywood
18 Sept
Downshire Y.M.
2 : 1
Holywood
12 Dec
Coagh Utd
2 : 0
Holywood
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Dungannon -
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Dergview -
Richhill -
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Nortel -
St. Marys -
TBD -
Donegal 1
Oxford Stars 3
Glebe 4
Iveagh Utd 0
Portaferry Rovers 2
Silverwood 3
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Moyola 3
Craigavon City 1
Grove 6
Sport & Leisure 3
Ballynahinch Olympic 2
Markethill 4
St. Patricks Young 5
Lurgan Town Boys 2
Laurelvale 1
TBD -
Ards Rangers -
Abbey Villa 5
Holywood 0
Saintfield 0
Dungiven 1
Newbuildings -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Crewe 5
Chimney 0
TBD -
Ardglass -
Crumlin United 4
Shankill 0
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Sofia Farmer 2
Lower Maze 1
Banbridge 0
Limavady 2
Donard -
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Tullyvallen Rangers 0
Windmill 5
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Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 4
Rosario Youth 0
Dromore Amateurs 0
Queens University 14
Ballynure Old Boys 4
Foundry 1
TBD -
Lisburn Rangers -
Comber Rec 4
Brantwood 3
Ballywalter Recreation 1
Ardstraw 2
Mossley FC -
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St Luke's -
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PSNI -
Institute -
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Linfield -
Coleraine -
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Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
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Shorts -
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Wellington Rec 0
Dunloy 3
Strabane Athletic -
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Dundonald 2
East Belfast 5
Wakehurst -
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Larne Technical Old Boys -
Desertmartin 2
Newcastle 0
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Tobermore -
Harland & Wolff -
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Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
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Larne -
Fivemiletown -
Killymoon -
Hanover 2
Sirocco 3
Newry City 7
Oxford Sunnyside 0
Bangor FC 2
Newington FC 3
Downshire Y.M. 4
Rathfern Rangers 0
Dungannon Rovers 0
U. U. Jordanstown 4
Barn -
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Dundela -
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Loughgall -
Armagh -
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Drumaness -
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Bloomfield 3
Seapatrick 4
Camlough -
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Dromara -
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys -
Bangor Amateurs FC -
TBD -
Ballynahinch United -
Crumlin Star -
TBD -
Immaculata 1
Trojans 3
Portstewart -
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Magherafelt 1
Moneyslane FC 6
Islandmagee 4
Ballymacash 1
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Killyleagh Youth -
Valley Rangers 3
Newtowne FC 1
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Seagoe -
Coagh Utd 2
Malachians 1
Banbridge Rangers 4
Derriaghy 5
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Glenavon -
1/128-finals
Dungannon -
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Dergview -
Richhill -
Nortel -
St. Marys 4
Oxford Stars 5
Glebe 3
Silverwood 2
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Grove 5
Sport & Leisure 2
St. Patricks Young 1
Lurgan Town Boys 0
Ards Rangers 2
Abbey Villa 4
Dungiven 1
Newbuildings 2
Dollingstown 4
Crewe 5
Ardglass 1
Crumlin United 2
Ballymoney 3
Sofia Farmer 2
Limavady 0
Donard -
Windmill -
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Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
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Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
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Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 1
Queens University 0
Ballynure Old Boys 2
Lisburn Rangers 4
Comber Rec 5
Ardstraw 2
Mossley FC 1
St Luke's 4
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PSNI -
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Ballyclare -
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Linfield -
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Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
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Shorts 8
Dunloy 0
Strabane Athletic 4
East Belfast 5
Wakehurst 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Desertmartin 0
Tobermore 6
Harland & Wolff -
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Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
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Ballymena -
Portadown -
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Larne -
Fivemiletown 4
Sirocco 1
Newry City 1
Newington FC 3
Downshire Y.M. 3
U. U. Jordanstown 2
Barn 1
Dundela 2
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Loughgall -
Armagh -
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Drumaness 2
Seapatrick 0
Camlough 0
Dromara 5
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 2
Ballynahinch United 1
Crumlin Star 1
Trojans 2
Portstewart 2
Moneyslane FC 0
Islandmagee 5
Killyleagh Youth 3
Valley Rangers 7
Seagoe 0
Coagh Utd 1
Derriaghy 2
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Glenavon -
1/64-finals
Dungannon -
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Dergview -
Richhill 1
Oxford Stars 0
Glebe 0
Grove 1
Sport & Leisure 3
Ards Rangers 2
Abbey Villa 2
Dollingstown 3
Crewe 3
Ballymoney 1
Sofia Farmer 0
Windmill 2
TBD -
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Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
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Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
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Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 1
Lisburn Rangers 0
Comber Rec 2
St Luke's 3
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PSNI -
Institute -
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Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
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Linfield -
Coleraine -
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Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
TBD -
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TBD -
Shorts 2
East Belfast 0
Wakehurst 1
Tobermore 2
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
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Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
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Ballymena -
Portadown -
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Larne -
Fivemiletown 5
Newington FC 4
Downshire Y.M. 2
Dundela 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Drumaness 2
Dromara 1
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1
Trojans 2
Portstewart 5
Killyleagh Youth 0
Valley Rangers 0
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
1/32-finals
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Richhill 6
Grove 2
Sport & Leisure 1
Dollingstown 3
Crewe 4
Windmill 3
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 3
St Luke's 0
TBD -
PSNI -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
TBD -
Shorts 0
Tobermore 6
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Fivemiletown 4
Dundela 3
TBD -
Loughgall -
Armagh -
TBD -
Drumaness 1
Trojans 3
Portstewart 4
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
Glenavon -
1/16-finals
Dungannon 3
Dergview 0
Richhill 1
Dollingstown 4
Crewe 2
Knockbreda 1
Ballinamallard 0
Warrenpoint 1
Crusaders 2
Ards 0
Lisburn Distillery 1
PSNI 2
Institute 4
Ballyclare 2
Glentoran 1
Linfield 2
Coleraine 5
Carrick Rangers 1
Annagh 0
Tobermore 2
Harland & Wolff 1
Lurgan Celtic 0
Cliftonville 1
Ballymena 2
Portadown 2
Larne 1
Fivemiletown 0
Loughgall 3
Armagh 2
Trojans 1
Portstewart 1
Glenavon 4
1/8-finals
Dungannon 4
Dollingstown 1
Crewe 0
Warrenpoint 5
Crusaders 2
PSNI 0
Institute 0
Linfield 2
Coleraine 1
Tobermore 0
Harland & Wolff 1
Ballymena 3
Portadown 2
Loughgall 1
Armagh 0
Glenavon 2
Quarter-finals
Dungannon 2
Warrenpoint 1
Crusaders 0
Linfield 2
Coleraine 4
Ballymena 0
Portadown 0
Glenavon 5
Semi-finals
Dungannon 0
Linfield 1
Coleraine 2
Glenavon 1
Final
Linfield 3
Coleraine 0