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Abbotsford Mariners vs Kitsap Pumas Prediction & H2H Stats

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USL Premier Development League 2009
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AI Match Summary

The USL Premier Development League 2009 game between Abbotsford Mariners and Kitsap Pumas finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kitsap Pumas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Abbotsford Mariners
15%
Draws
85%
Kitsap Pumas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kitsap Pumas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kitsap Pumas come out ahead of Abbotsford Mariners on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Kitsap Pumas's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kitsap Pumas here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Abbotsford Mariners Clean Sheet 20%
Kitsap Pumas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abbotsford Mariners Kitsap Pumas
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 20
Draws 3 7
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 0.87 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.17 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2012 USL League Two
Abbotsford Mariners vs Kitsap Pumas
0:3
May 13, 2012 USL League Two
Kitsap Pumas vs Abbotsford Mariners
6:0
Jul 6, 2011 USL League Two
Abbotsford Mariners vs Kitsap Pumas
0:4
Jun 18, 2011 USL League Two
Kitsap Pumas vs Abbotsford Mariners
3:1
Jun 13, 2010 USL League Two
Abbotsford Mariners vs Kitsap Pumas
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abbotsford Mariners 10 / 100
Kitsap Pumas 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abbotsford Mariners Kitsap Pumas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kitsap Pumas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Abbotsford Mariners found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Kitsap Pumas let in goals in 50% of their last 34 matches.

Away concern: Kitsap Pumas has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kitsap Pumas
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Abbotsford Mariners

(Home)
12 Jul
Vancouver Whitecaps U23
2 : 1
Abbotsford Mariners
08 Jul
Sound FC
1 : 0
Abbotsford Mariners
02 Jul
Abbotsford Mariners
0 : 1
Victoria Highlanders FC
30 Jun
Abbotsford Mariners
0 : 2
Portland Timbers 3
21 Jun
Abbotsford Mariners
0 : 4
Vancouver Whitecaps U23
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Kitsap Pumas

(Away)
09 May
Portland (Capital) U23
5 : 0
Kitsap Pumas
17 Jul
Kitsap Pumas
3 : 1
Calgary-Foothills
10 Jul
Kitsap Pumas
2 : 1
Lane United FC
07 Jul
Kitsap Pumas
0 : 0
Portland Timbers 3
30 Jun
Kitsap Pumas
1 : 0
Sound FC
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