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ABC vs Potyguar Seridoense

Brazil Brazil

Potiguar 2024 Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Frasqueirao), Natal
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Janio
45' Event
Mikael Mendes
46' Event
Jardel D.

AI Match Summary

The Potiguar 2024 game between ABC and Potyguar Seridoense finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
ABC
20%
Draws
23%
Potyguar Seridoense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ABC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Potyguar Seridoense haven't matched ABC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives ABC a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Potiguar 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • ABC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
ABC Clean Sheet 68%
Potyguar Seridoense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ABC Potyguar Seridoense
Matches Played 45 31
Wins 29 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 2.07 1
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Potiguar
Potyguar Seridoense vs ABC
2:4
Mar 9, 2024 Potiguar
ABC vs Potyguar Seridoense
2:2
Feb 16, 2022 Potiguar
Potyguar Seridoense vs ABC
0:2
Feb 5, 2022 Potiguar
ABC vs Potyguar Seridoense
2:0
Jan 12, 2022 Potiguar
ABC vs Potyguar Seridoense
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ABC Compare

Top Goalscorer Jardel D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Potyguar Seridoense Compare

Top Goalscorer Janio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mikael Mendes
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ABC 95 / 100
Potyguar Seridoense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ABC Potyguar Seridoense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ABC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ABC found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (45 games).

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Potyguar Seridoense let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

ABC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ABC VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ABC

(Home)
30 Aug
ABC
1 : 1
Uberlandia
22 Aug
Uberlandia
1 : 0
ABC
16 Aug
ABC
1 : 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
08 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 2
ABC
26 Jul
ABC
4 : 1
Luverdense
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Potyguar Seridoense

(Away)
08 Feb
Laguna RN
2 : 2
Potyguar Seridoense
04 Feb
QFC
4 : 1
Potyguar Seridoense
31 Jan
Potyguar Seridoense
2 : 4
ABC
25 Jan
Potiguar de Mossoró
2 : 0
Potyguar Seridoense
18 Jan
Potyguar Seridoense
1 : 0
Globo FC
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz de Natal 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
2 America RN 4 1 3 0 5:2 6
3 Potyguar Seridoense 4 0 2 2 5:9 2
4 Globo FC 4 0 2 2 1:6 2
Promotion - Potiguar 2024 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potiguar de Mossoró 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 ABC 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
3 Baraunas 4 2 2 0 9:3 2
4 CE Forca E Luz 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Potiguar 2024 (Second stage - Play Offs)