Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Abdysh-Ata Kant vs Al-Shabab

Asia Asia

AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 Changlimithang Stadium, Thimphu
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Bilyi A.
Assist: Atabaev E.
37'
Imamovic E.
44' Event
Al Saadi M.

AI Match Summary

Al-Shabab in this AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al-Shabab.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Abdysh-Ata Kant
33%
Draws
40%
Al-Shabab
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Al-Shabab

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al-Shabab lately — more wins on the board than Abdysh-Ata Kant.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Al-Shabab taking it.
  • Regular AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Abdysh-Ata Kant Clean Sheet 23%
Al-Shabab Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abdysh-Ata Kant Al-Shabab
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 AFC Challenge League
Abdysh-Ata Kant vs Al-Shabab
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Abdysh-Ata Kant Compare

Top Goalscorer Bilyi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Al-Shabab Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Saadi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al-Ghafri M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abdysh-Ata Kant 29 / 100
Al-Shabab 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abdysh-Ata Kant Al-Shabab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Shabab has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Abdysh-Ata Kant's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Abdysh-Ata Kant went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Abdysh-Ata Kant VS Al-Shabab
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Abdysh-Ata Kant

(Home)
07 Jul
Asia Talas
4 : 0
Abdysh-Ata Kant
03 Jul
Abdysh-Ata Kant
0 : 1
Alga Bishkek
21 Jun
Kyrgyzaltyn
2 : 2
Abdysh-Ata Kant
11 Jun
Abdysh-Ata Kant
2 : 0
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
28 May
Ilbirs
1 : 1
Abdysh-Ata Kant
Page 1 of 7

Al-Shabab

(Away)
23 May
Al Nahda
2 : 3
Al-Shabab
18 May
Al-Shabab
0 : 0
Al Seeb
14 May
Dhofar
2 : 0
Al-Shabab
08 May
Sur Club
2 : 0
Al-Shabab
04 May
Al-Shabab
1 : 0
Al-Rustaq
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Shabab33006:29
2Altyn Asyr32015:46
3Abdysh-Ata Kant30124:61
4Paro30124:71
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Kuwait32106:37
2Al Ansar32017:46
3Al Seeb31115:54
4Bashundara Kings30032:80
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Muras United31203:15
2Al Arabi (Kuwait)31205:45
3Safa31114:54
4Regar-TadAZ30122:41
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Svay Rieng32108:27
2Manila Digger32107:37
3Falcons31023:63
4Ezra30032:90
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dewa United32109:27
2Phnom Penh Crown32107:47
3Taiwan Steel31024:83
4Shan United30033:90
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)