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ABECAT Ouvidorense vs Anapolis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Goiano Estádio Municipal Luiz Benedito, Ouvidor
Sat, Feb 28, 2026
3 - 4
08:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Gabriel Cipriano
31'
Sub
Pablo In: Cleitinho
Out: Pablo
32' Event
Fernandinho

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-4. The second leg ended 3-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
ABECAT Ouvidorense
20%
Draws
40%
Anapolis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • ABECAT Ouvidorense haven't matched Anapolis's recent run of results.
  • Model gives ABECAT Ouvidorense a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Anapolis arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Anapolis, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
ABECAT Ouvidorense Clean Sheet 68%
Anapolis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ABECAT Ouvidorense Anapolis
Matches Played 31 36
Wins 10 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.16 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Goiano
ABECAT Ouvidorense vs Anapolis
3:4
Feb 22, 2026 Goiano
Anapolis vs ABECAT Ouvidorense
0:2
Feb 2, 2026 Goiano
ABECAT Ouvidorense vs Anapolis
2:2
Mar 5, 2025 Goiano
Anapolis vs ABECAT Ouvidorense
3:2
Mar 1, 2025 Goiano
ABECAT Ouvidorense vs Anapolis
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ABECAT Ouvidorense Compare

Top Goalscorer Emerson Machado
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73

Anapolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Cipriano
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.37

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ABECAT Ouvidorense 51 / 100
Anapolis 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ABECAT Ouvidorense Anapolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anapolis has conceded goals in 81% of their last 36 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

ABECAT Ouvidorense found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

ABECAT Ouvidorense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

ABECAT Ouvidorense VS Anapolis
1.67 Goals Scored 1
0.33 Goals Conceded 1.25
67% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ABECAT Ouvidorense

(Home)
14 Jun
Uberlandia
0 : 1
ABECAT Ouvidorense
30 May
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 1
Betim FC
23 May
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 0
Operario MS
17 May
CRAC
2 : 1
ABECAT Ouvidorense
10 May
Ivinhema
0 : 0
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Page 1 of 7

Anapolis

(Away)
29 Aug
Anapolis
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
22 Aug
Confianca
0 : 1
Anapolis
16 Aug
Floresta EC
1 : 0
Anapolis
10 Aug
Anapolis
2 : 1
Guarani
25 Jul
Volta Redonda
1 : 4
Anapolis
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

5th place
Jataiense 2
ABECAT Ouvidorense 3
Semi-finals
Jataiense 3
CRAC 1
ABECAT Ouvidorense 5
Anapolis 4