Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aberdare Town vs Afan Lido

Wales Wales

Division 1 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2015/2016 game between Aberdare Town and Afan Lido finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afan Lido.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Aberdare Town
15%
Draws
46%
Afan Lido
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Afan Lido

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Aberdare Town haven't matched Afan Lido's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Aberdare Town's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Division 1 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Aberdare Town Clean Sheet 16%
Afan Lido Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aberdare Town Afan Lido
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 10 17
Draws 4 2
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.97 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2016 Division 1
Aberdare Town vs Afan Lido
0:3
Nov 14, 2015 Division 1
Afan Lido vs Aberdare Town
3:0
Apr 17, 2015 Division 1
Afan Lido vs Aberdare Town
1:3
Sep 27, 2014 Division 1
Aberdare Town vs Afan Lido
3:1
Feb 20, 2010 Division 1
Afan Lido vs Aberdare Town
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberdare Town 36 / 100
Afan Lido 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aberdare Town Afan Lido

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Afan Lido has conceded goals in 71% of their last 35 outings.

Attacking prowess: Aberdare Town scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Aberdare Town has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Afan Lido
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberdare Town

(Home)
06 Oct
Aberdare Town
0 : 1
Ammanford Town
06 May
Aberdare Town
1 : 2
Monmouth
30 Apr
Garden Village
0 : 1
Aberdare Town
26 Apr
Caerau Ely
5 : 1
Aberdare Town
23 Apr
Goytre AFC
2 : 3
Aberdare Town
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Afan Lido

(Away)
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1
Afan Lido
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1
Afan Lido
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Ynyshir Albions
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2
Afan Lido
21 Aug
Afan Lido
1 : 0
Pontardawe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardiff Metropolitan University 30 19 5 6 63:26 62
2 Barry Town 30 16 10 4 62:33 58
3 Goytre AFC 30 17 5 8 72:36 56
4 Caerau Ely 30 15 5 10 59:43 50
5 Cambrian United 30 15 5 10 48:39 50
6 Taffs Well 30 14 5 11 57:51 47
7 Goytre Utd 30 13 4 13 45:47 43
8 Afan Lido 30 11 9 10 53:53 42
9 Ton Pentre 30 12 4 14 45:52 40
10 Risca United 30 12 3 15 48:48 39
11 Penybont 30 11 6 13 53:56 39
12 Monmouth 30 10 9 11 56:60 39
13 Briton Ferry 30 10 9 11 41:49 39
14 Aberdare Town 30 11 4 15 34:56 37
15 Aberbargoed Buds 30 8 3 19 42:63 27
16 Garden Village 30 1 4 25 27:93 7
Promotion - Premier League 2016/2017 (Main)