Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aberdare Town vs Goytre Utd

Wales Wales

Division 1 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aberdare Town in this Division 1 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aberdare Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Aberdare Town
15%
Draws
42%
Goytre Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aberdare Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Goytre Utd haven't matched Aberdare Town's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Aberdare Town Clean Sheet 19%
Goytre Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aberdare Town Goytre Utd
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 0.97 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2016 Division 1
Aberdare Town vs Goytre Utd
2:1
Aug 29, 2015 Division 1
Goytre Utd vs Aberdare Town
2:1
Jan 24, 2015 Division 1
Goytre Utd vs Aberdare Town
3:1
Sep 6, 2014 Division 1
Aberdare Town vs Goytre Utd
2:2
May 3, 2014 Division 1
Goytre Utd vs Aberdare Town
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberdare Town 31 / 100
Goytre Utd 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aberdare Town Goytre Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aberdare Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goytre Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Goytre Utd has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Aberdare Town scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Goytre Utd
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberdare Town

(Home)
06 Oct
Aberdare Town
0 : 1
Ammanford Town
06 May
Aberdare Town
1 : 2
Monmouth
30 Apr
Garden Village
0 : 1
Aberdare Town
26 Apr
Caerau Ely
5 : 1
Aberdare Town
23 Apr
Goytre AFC
2 : 3
Aberdare Town
Page 1 of 6

Goytre Utd

(Away)
04 Jul
Goytre Utd
1 : 2
Barry Town
17 Oct
Goytre Utd
0 : 6
Cambrian United
20 Sept
Goytre Utd
2 : 1
Ammanford Town
15 Jul
Ton Pentre
1 : 2
Goytre Utd
28 Jun
Goytre Utd
2 : 3
Cambrian United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardiff Metropolitan University 30 19 5 6 63:26 62
2 Barry Town 30 16 10 4 62:33 58
3 Goytre AFC 30 17 5 8 72:36 56
4 Caerau Ely 30 15 5 10 59:43 50
5 Cambrian United 30 15 5 10 48:39 50
6 Taffs Well 30 14 5 11 57:51 47
7 Goytre Utd 30 13 4 13 45:47 43
8 Afan Lido 30 11 9 10 53:53 42
9 Ton Pentre 30 12 4 14 45:52 40
10 Risca United 30 12 3 15 48:48 39
11 Penybont 30 11 6 13 53:56 39
12 Monmouth 30 10 9 11 56:60 39
13 Briton Ferry 30 10 9 11 41:49 39
14 Aberdare Town 30 11 4 15 34:56 37
15 Aberbargoed Buds 30 8 3 19 42:63 27
16 Garden Village 30 1 4 25 27:93 7
Promotion - Premier League 2016/2017 (Main)