Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aberdeen vs Hearts

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aberdeen host Hearts in the Premiership. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Hearts have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Aberdeen have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Aberdeen slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.38, favoring Hearts. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Aberdeen
6%
Draws
4%
Hearts
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aberdeen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hearts come out ahead of Aberdeen on wins alone.
  • Aberdeen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Aberdeen Clean Sheet 17%
Hearts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aberdeen Hearts
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 17
Draws 3 3
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Premiership
Hearts vs Aberdeen
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Premiership
Aberdeen vs Hearts
1:0
Aug 4, 2025 Premiership
Hearts vs Aberdeen
2:0
Apr 19, 2025 Scottish Cup
Hearts vs Aberdeen
1:2
Jan 12, 2025 Premiership
Aberdeen vs Hearts
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberdeen 84 / 100
Hearts 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aberdeen Hearts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ABE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aberdeen found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Hearts has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Aberdeen remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Hearts has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aberdeen VS Hearts
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberdeen

(Home)
22 Jul
Queen of the South
1 : 4
Aberdeen
18 Jul
Aberdeen
2 : 1
Queen's Park
14 Jul
Brora Rangers
0 : 2
Aberdeen
11 Jul
Linfield
0 : 2
Aberdeen
07 Jul
Aberdeen
3 : 6
Ross County
Page 1 of 6

Hearts

(Away)
21 Jul
Sturm Graz
4 : 0
Hearts
17 Jul
Hearts
2 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
14 Jul
Arbroath
1 : 2
Hearts
10 Jul
Livingston
2 : 1
Hearts
16 May
Celtic
3 : 1
Hearts
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dundee Utd00000:00
2Falkirk00000:00
3Hearts00000:00
4Hibernian00000:00
5Kilmarnock00000:00
6Motherwell00000:00
7St. Mirren00000:00
8Dundee FC00000:00
9St Johnstone00000:00
10Celtic00000:00
11Rangers00000:00
12Aberdeen00000:00
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)