Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aberdeen vs Hearts

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Lyons B.
35' Event
McEntee O.
41'
Altena J.

AI Match Summary

The Premiership game between Aberdeen and Hearts finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aberdeen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Aberdeen
15%
Draws
54%
Hearts
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hearts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hearts come out ahead of Aberdeen on wins alone.
  • Hearts are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Aberdeen Clean Sheet 11%
Hearts Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aberdeen Hearts
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Premiership
Aberdeen vs Hearts
2:1
Feb 28, 2026 Premiership
Hearts vs Aberdeen
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Premiership
Aberdeen vs Hearts
1:0
Aug 4, 2025 Premiership
Hearts vs Aberdeen
2:0
Apr 19, 2025 Scottish Cup
Hearts vs Aberdeen
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aberdeen Compare

Top Goalscorer Mayo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Hearts Compare

Top Goalscorer McEntee O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberdeen 27 / 100
Hearts 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aberdeen Hearts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hearts Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:8
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aberdeen found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Hearts has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Aberdeen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aberdeen VS Hearts
1.13 Goals Scored 2.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberdeen

(Home)
15 Sept
Motherwell
0 : 4
Aberdeen
12 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 2
Aberdeen
05 Sept
Aberdeen
0 : 0
Kilmarnock
02 Sept
Celtic
3 : 0
Aberdeen
30 Aug
Aberdeen
0 : 1
Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Hearts

(Away)
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Hearts
06 Sept
Hearts
2 : 1
Dundee FC
03 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 3
Hearts
29 Aug
Hearts
2 : 1
St Johnstone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 6 6 0 0 14:3 18
2 Rangers 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
3 Hearts 6 4 0 2 13:7 12
4 St. Mirren 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
5 Motherwell 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
6 Dundee FC 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
7 St Johnstone 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
8 Aberdeen 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
9 Hibernian 6 2 0 4 7:10 6
10 Falkirk 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
11 Dundee Utd 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
12 Kilmarnock 6 1 1 4 5:14 4
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)