Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Abertillery Bluebirds vs Ammanford Town

Wales Wales

League Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Reed L.
82' Event
Reed L.

AI Match Summary

The League Cup 2023/2024 game between Abertillery Bluebirds and Ammanford Town finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ammanford Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Abertillery Bluebirds
6%
Draws
90%
Ammanford Town
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ammanford Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ammanford Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ammanford Town are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal League Cup 2023/2024 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ammanford Town have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Abertillery Bluebirds Clean Sheet 13%
Ammanford Town Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abertillery Bluebirds Ammanford Town
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 5 17
Draws 6 9
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 0 2.25
Goals Conceded 0 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 Cymru South
Abertillery Bluebirds vs Ammanford Town
0:7
Aug 8, 2023 Cymru South
Ammanford Town vs Abertillery Bluebirds
3:2
Jul 25, 2023 League Cup
Abertillery Bluebirds vs Ammanford Town
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Abertillery Bluebirds Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Ammanford Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Reed L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abertillery Bluebirds 10 / 100
Ammanford Town 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abertillery Bluebirds Ammanford Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AMM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Abertillery Bluebirds found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.

Ammanford Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ammanford Town
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Carmarthen Town0
Swansea U214
TBD-
Caerau Ely-
Haverfordwest-
TBD-
Cambrian United2
Cardiff U213
Trefelin-
TBD-
Abertillery Bluebirds0
Ammanford Town2
Abergavenny Town0
Briton Ferry2
Goytre Utd1
Llantwit Major2
Penybont-
TBD-
Baglan Dragons1
Afan Lido3
Cwmbran Celtic2
Taffs Well3
TBD-
Cardiff Metropolitan University-
Barry Town-
TBD-
TBD-
Aberystwyth-
Llanelli1
Pontardawe0
TBD-
Pontypridd United-
Newtown-
TBD-
Caersws FC1
Guilsfield3
Ruthin Town3
Llandudno FC2
TBD-
Bala-
Prestatyn-
TBD-
TBD-
Flint Town-
Colwyn Bay-
TBD-
TBD-
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
TNS-
TBD-
TBD-
Connahs Q.-
Caernarfon-
TBD-
Porthmadog4
Llanidloes Town2
Buckley2
Mold Alexandra1
Chirk AAA FC0
Denbigh1
Holywell Town FC2
Bangor 18763
TBD-
Gresford-
1/16-finals
Swansea U213
Caerau Ely1
Haverfordwest0
Cardiff U214
Trefelin2
Ammanford Town3
Briton Ferry3
Llantwit Major1
Penybont1
Afan Lido2
Taffs Well0
Cardiff Metropolitan University3
Barry Town1
Aberystwyth2
Llanelli1
Pontypridd United4
Newtown1
Guilsfield2
Ruthin Town0
Bala4
Prestatyn2
Flint Town1
Colwyn Bay5
Airbus UK Broughton FC0
TNS2
Connahs Q.1
Caernarfon2
Porthmadog3
Buckley3
Denbigh0
Bangor 18760
Gresford3
1/8-finals
Swansea U212
Cardiff U211
Ammanford Town0
Briton Ferry1
Afan Lido0
Cardiff Metropolitan University4
Aberystwyth0
Pontypridd United1
Guilsfield1
Bala0
Prestatyn3
Colwyn Bay2
TNS4
Porthmadog1
Buckley0
Gresford1
Quarter-finals
Swansea U216
Briton Ferry0
Cardiff Metropolitan University1
Pontypridd United0
Guilsfield2
Prestatyn1
TNS9
Gresford0
Semi-finals
Swansea U211
Cardiff Metropolitan University0
Guilsfield0
TNS2
Final
Swansea U211
TNS5