Sport Picks
Abertillery Bluebirds vs Llanelli Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
Cymru South 2023/2024 
Match Events
25'
25'
Cronin S.
79'
79'
Williams K.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru South 2023/2024 game between Abertillery Bluebirds and Llanelli finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Llanelli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Llanelli come out ahead of Abertillery Bluebirds on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Cymru South 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Abertillery Bluebirds Clean Sheet 26%
Llanelli Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Abertillery Bluebirds | Llanelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 35 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 18 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.97 | 2.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.73 | 0.80 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 13, 2024 Cymru South
Abertillery Bluebirds vs Llanelli
1:1
Oct 20, 2023 Cymru South
Llanelli vs Abertillery Bluebirds
9:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Abertillery Bluebirds Compare
Top Goalscorer Williams K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86
Llanelli Compare
Top Goalscorer Cronin S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Abertillery Bluebirds 33 / 100
Llanelli 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Abertillery Bluebirds Llanelli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Llanelli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Abertillery Bluebirds scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
Llanelli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 35 matches.
Games between these two average 5.50 goals.
Difficult form: Llanelli registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Llanelli
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Abertillery Bluebirds
(Home) 21 Sept
New Inn
2 : 1 Abertillery Bluebirds
20 Apr
Abertillery Bluebirds
2 : 5 Afan Lido
16 Apr
Caerau Ely
5 : 3 Abertillery Bluebirds
13 Apr
Abertillery Bluebirds
0 : 7 Ammanford Town
29 Mar
Cambrian United
5 : 2 Abertillery Bluebirds
Page 1 of 6
20 Apr
Abertillery Bluebirds
2 : 5 Afan Lido
13 Apr
Abertillery Bluebirds
0 : 7 Ammanford Town
23 Mar
Abertillery Bluebirds
2 : 5 Trefelin
09 Mar
Abertillery Bluebirds
0 : 4 Goytre Utd
24 Feb
Abertillery Bluebirds
2 : 0 Carmarthen Town
Page 1 of 3
Llanelli
(Away) 02 Oct
Llanelli
1 : 2 Baglan Dragons
26 Sept
Llantwit Major
2 : 0 Llanelli
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0 Llanelli
04 Sept
Llanelli
0 : 2 Treowen
31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0 Llanelli
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Llantwit Major
2 : 0 Llanelli
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0 Llanelli
31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0 Llanelli
22 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 2 Llanelli
15 Aug
Pure Swansea
3 : 0 Llanelli
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Briton Ferry | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 87:39 | 71 |
| 2 | Llanelli | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 80:40 | 64 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 60:42 | 57 |
| 4 | Cambrian United | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 60:37 | 50 |
| 5 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 72:60 | 49 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 50:39 | 47 |
| 7 | Afan Lido | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 68:56 | 46 |
| 8 | Goytre Utd | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 58:59 | 43 |
| 9 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 69:64 | 42 |
| 10 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 46:41 | 41 |
| 11 | Trefelin | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 47:63 | 38 |
| 12 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 44:54 | 35 |
| 13 | Taffs Well | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 44:49 | 32 |
| 14 | Pontardawe | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 52:70 | 32 |
| 15 | Abertillery Bluebirds | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 34:94 | 15 |
| 16 | Abergavenny Town | 30 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 20:84 | 8 |
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